The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Santander 47.1%
Draw 27.3%
Leones 25.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.2%
29.8%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
29.2%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Santander's performance.
Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Santander that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
14.3%
42.9%
Real Santander - Leones Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Real Santander will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Leones will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
1. Lazaro J. (G) 6. Ariza A. 41. Chacon Bonilla E. E. 11. Diaz M. 3. Duran C. 14. Garcia Habib J. P. 27. Guillen Sanchez J. D. 5. Holguin J. 9. Rodriguez P. 7. Rueda Juan 31. Tapia D.
1. Figueroa J. (G) 27. Castano J. 30. Granados R. 5. Meneses G. 16. Renteria J. 22. Restrepo J. 18. Restrepo N. 7. Rodriguez Cespedes C. 21. Segura O. 29. Soto T. 8. Villa D.
Substitutes
15. Ararat J. 36. Ayala J. 29. Carrasco J. 37. Delgado J. 8. Garcia J. 16. Hernandez J. 22. Ramos Y. (G) 24. Rangel L. 25. Segura A.
12. Arboleda J. (G) 35. Echeverry J. 15. Martinez J. 19. Martinez J. 24. Montoya S. 23. Pacheco L. 10. Sanches L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Rodriguez P. (Penalty Awarded),
26', Soto T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Soto T. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
46', Castano J. ↓, Montoya S. ↑,
60', Restrepo J. ↓, Echeverry J. ↑,
65', Martinez J. 🟨,
68', Rueda Juan 🟨,
69', Segura O. ↓, Pacheco L. ↑,
79', Garcia J. 🟨,
80', Diaz M. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
80', Rodriguez P. ↓, Carrasco J. ↑,
81', Restrepo N. ↓, Sanches L. ↑,
87', Garcia Habib J. P. 🟨,
88', Meneses G. 🟨,
88', Holguin J. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 10th and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Real Santander could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Real Santander holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Real Santander has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:23 (averaging 0.9:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real Santander against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:8 goals (averaging 1:0.9 per game).
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Lazaro J. (G) 
Sanches L. 
