Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 17 March 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Villa Concha (Piedecuesta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play


	Real Santander		Leones

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.75
	2.26	3.3	3
	2.31	3.27	2.95
	2.27	3.34	3.06	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.23	3.35	2.98	Watch
	2.26	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.38)	3.25 (3.25)	2.95 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santander
40.6%

Draw
28.2%

Leones
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.6%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Real Santander - Leones Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Santander will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chacon K. (G) 5. Ariza A. (C) 21. Duque J. 3. Duran N. 8. Gomez J. 14. Habib J. 4. Pertuz J. 9. Rey S. 26. Roman B. 7. Rueda Juan 25. Segura A.	22. Montoya J. (G) 13. Arboleda M. 10. Martinez J. (C) 11. Palacios L. 6. Romero J. 4. Saldana A. 33. Tamayo K. 9. Valencia J. 30. Valencia S. 20. Velez D. 8. Villa D.
Substitutes
20. Ascanio J. 77. Castillo Y. 12. Lazaro J. (G) 10. Rivera Mendoza F. I. 70. Rodriguez A. 2. Solis J. 24. Yanes L.	25. Ceballos A. 29. Fruto R. 1. Holguin C. (G) 15. Mosquera S. 31. Restrepo Alvarez J. 19. Rodas B. 2. Torres J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Duque J. ↓, Ascanio J. ↑,
41', Ariza A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rey S. ↓, Yanes L. ↑,
46', Segura A. ↓, Rivera Mendoza F. I. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Rivera Mendoza F. I. ⚽,
61', Pertuz J. 🟥,
62', Saldana A. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
62', Palacios L. ↓, Ceballos A. ↑,
65', Habib J. 🟨,
67', Ceballos A. 🟨,
71', Valencia S. ↓, Restrepo Alvarez J. ↑,
80', Velez D. ↓, Rodas B. ↑,
81', Rueda Juan 🟨,
90+4', Rueda Juan ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Santander won 1.

Real Santander is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Leones is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Santander could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Real Santander won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19:27 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Santander won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santander
Colombian Primera B
09.03.25	Real Cartagena - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Real Santander - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Bogotá - Real Santander	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Real Santander - Real Cundinamarca	3:4 ✺
10.02.25	Barranquilla - Real Santander	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLLW
- Leones FC
Colombian Primera B
11.03.25	Leones - Internacional de Palmira	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Tigres - Leones	1:1 ✺
24.02.25	Barranquilla - Leones	2:3 ✺
17.02.25	Leones - Real Cartagena	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Orsomarso - Leones	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
22.07.24	Leones - Real Santander	2:0
03.02.24	Real Santander - Leones	0:0
09.09.23	Real Santander - Leones	2:1
02.04.23	Leones - Real Santander	1:1
04.08.22	Leones - Real Santander	1:1
21.03.22	Real Santander - Leones	0:4
19.08.21	Leones - Real Santander	2:1

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