Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Location: Parque Estadio Olaya Herrera (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play


	Real Cundinamarca		Bogotá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.2	7
	1.42	4.3	7	Watch
	1.42	4.33	7.76
	1.38	4.37	8.84
	1.36	4.2	8
	1.5	4.08	6.47	Watch
	1.42	4.3	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.41)	4.25 ↓ (4.29)	7.44 ↑ (7.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cundinamarca
65.7%

Draw
21.8%

Bogotá
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

21.5%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

20.4%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Real Cundinamarca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Real Cundinamarca - Bogotá Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Cundinamarca will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Bogotá will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Bogotá (1.64) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bogotá (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Catano K. (G) 9. Asprilla Moreno J. 16. Cajares J. (C) 10. Castano C. 17. Contreras D. 15. Cortes K. 32. Moreno S. 27. Parra G. 14. Rocha A. 18. Rubiano J. 2. Suaza Castaneda J. B.	12. Agamez W. (G) 46. Bernal J. 6. Castro K. (C) 3. Diaz S. 23. Huerfano C. 49. Moreno Torres J. D. 32. Obregon L. 17. Perez Porras A. D. 2. Solis J. 11. Viafara D. 16. Zamora C.
Substitutes
30. Acosta O. 22. Cuero B. 21. Cundumi I. 1. Hinestroza Mosquera K. (G) 5. Hoyos J. . Moreno J. 11. Vega S.	29. Aguilar D. (G) 48. Baena J. 10. Castro B. 21. Cueto L. 5. Ramos Jaramillo H. 19. Ruiz S. 22. Valencia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Viafara D. ⚽,
28', Parra G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 🟨,
63', Castro K. 🟨,
68', Contreras D. 🟨,
69', 🟨,
70', Castano C. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Moreno S. ⚽,
88', Acosta O. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, Huerfano C. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 13).

Real Cundinamarca is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bogotá has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Cundinamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Cundinamarca is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Real Cundinamarca will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Cundinamarca won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Real Cundinamarca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
28.04.25	Orsomarso - Real Cundinamarca	0:1 ✺
17.04.25	Real Cundinamarca - Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Deportes Quindío - Real Cundinamarca	0:0 ✺
08.04.25	Real Cundinamarca - Tigres	1:1 ✺
03.04.25	Real Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTTW
- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
27.04.25	Bogotá - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Bogotá - Deportes Quindío	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Barranquilla - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Bogotá - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	Tigres - Bogotá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
22.09.24	Bogotá - Real Cundinamarca	2:2
20.04.24	Real Cundinamarca - Bogotá	2:2
21.09.23	Bogotá - Real Cundinamarca	0:0

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