Match Info

Liga FUTVE 2 - Round 23

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Bolivar		Aragua

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.80	2.85
	2.45	2.68	2.95	Watch
	2.51	2.81	3	Watch
	2.45	2.65	2.9
	2.44	2.78	2.94
	2.47	2.7	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.63)	2.74 ↑ (2.56)	2.92 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolivar
36.6%

Draw
32.8%

Aragua
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

36%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

36.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolivar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolivar than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolivar won 2.

Bolivar has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Aragua is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Aragua could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Bolivar has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 0.6:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bolivar against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 0.7:0.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Bolivar - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolivar SC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
13.09.26	Mineros de Guayana - Bolivar	4:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
09.09.26	Monagas - Bolivar	5:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
06.09.26	Deportivo Miranda - Bolivar	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Bolivar - Atletico Avila	2:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
26.08.26	Bolivar - Monagas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWL
- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
13.09.26	Aragua - Deportivo Miranda	2:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
09.09.26	Yaracuyanos - Aragua	2:5 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
05.09.26	Monagas B - Aragua	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Aragua - Dynamo Puerto	2:0 ✺
Copa Venezuela
26.08.26	Aragua - Yaracuyanos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Segunda Division
01.08.26	Aragua - Bolivar	1:0
03.05.26	Bolivar - Aragua	0:0
07.03.26	Aragua - Bolivar	2:1
14.09.25	Bolivar - Aragua	1:0
03.08.25	Aragua - Bolivar	0:1
08.06.25	Bolivar - Aragua	1:1
20.04.25	Aragua - Bolivar	0:0

Bolivar - Aragua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide