Match Info

Copa Venezuela - Round 4

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Monagas		Bolivar

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.80	7.25
	1.29	5.15	7.40
	1.34	4.90	6.49
	1.37	5.01	7.02	Watch
	1.39	4.30	5.60
	1.44	5.20	5.47
	1.29	5.00	7.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)	4.91 ↓ (5.2)	6.6 ↑ (6.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monagas
67.6%

Draw
18.6%

Bolivar
13.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.4%

17.6%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

16.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Bolivar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolivar than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Monagas - Bolivar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Basante F. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Arismendi W. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
67', 2 - 1, Farias E. ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, Perez Piamo Y. J. d. J. ⚽,
86', 4 - 1, Vallenilla W. ⚽,
90+3', 5 - 1, Natera S. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Monagas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Monagas is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Monagas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
06.09.26	Monagas - Metropolitanos	0:1 ✺
03.09.26	Academia Anzoátegui - Monagas	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Trujillanos - Monagas	3:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
26.08.26	Bolivar - Monagas	1:3 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
23.08.26	Monagas - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWT
- Bolivar SC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
06.09.26	Deportivo Miranda - Bolivar	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Bolivar - Atletico Avila	2:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
26.08.26	Bolivar - Monagas	1:3 ✺
19.08.26	Bolivar - Dynamo Puerto	1:2 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
01.08.26	Aragua - Bolivar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
26.08.26	Bolivar - Monagas	1:3
02.07.25	Bolivar - Monagas	0:0
11.06.25	Monagas - Bolivar	1:0

Monagas - Bolivar