Match Info

Turkish Cup - Round 1

Date: 24 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Bolu Atatürk Stadyumu (Bolu)

Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Turkey	A Spor


	Boluspor		Fethiyespor

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.5	1.55
	1.29	5.17	9.13
	1.89	4.47	3.23	Watch
	3.9	4	1.67
	1.81	4.1	2.2	Watch
	1.83	4	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (1.48)	4.37 ↑ (4.1)	3.57 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boluspor
44.3%

Draw
25%

Fethiyespor
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22.7%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

21.7%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boluspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boluspor's form might have worsened.

Fethiyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fethiyespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (+21.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boluspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fethiyespor than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fethiyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27%	5.4%	67.6%

Boluspor - Fethiyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Boluspor will win (votes: 10 - 27%). Fethiyespor will win (votes: 25 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fethiyespor: 52.5% – 82.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Fethiyespor (2.01) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Fethiyespor (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Fethiyespor (3.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fethiyespor will win (15 of 20 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Boluspor (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Fethiyespor (votes: 22 - 81.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Pakol I. (G) 88. Cetin K. 82. Akgun A. 33. Saygi A. 23. Yilmaz C. 81. Kazanci E. 92. Acikgoz M. 15. Topcu B. (C) 46. Yildiz M. 83. Yilmaz B. 85. Yildiz D.	1. Akbulut A. (G) 15. Yilmaz O. 5. Akyuz S. 29. Degirmencioglu B. (C) 33. Yildiz S. 53. Satir B. 23. Kazan C. 18. Gulay S. 48. Pala K. 19. Ayhan U. 14. Yilmaz A.
Substitutes
93. Akbulut E. 87. Cor E. 91. Dirdiroglu T. (G) 86. Gokgoz E. 89. Ozturk O. 95. Soykan E. 55. Yerlikaya M.	69. Akkas A. 28. Caglar Y. 25. Canbazoglu H. (G) 99. Kadimli O. 78. Kemence S.
Coaches
Arslan E.	Karafirtinalar S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Yildiz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Akgun A. ↓, Cor E. ↑,
72', Yilmaz A. ↓, Caglar Y. ↑,
75', Topcu B. ↓, Yerlikaya M. ↑,
78', Kazanci E. 🟨,
83', Yildiz D. ↓, Akbulut E. ↑,
83', Acikgoz M. ↓, Soykan E. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Fethiyespor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fethiyespor has had a series of home games.

In this match, Boluspor is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Boluspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boluspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boluspor
Turkish First League
20.12.25	Boluspor - Pendikspor	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Adana Demirspor - Boluspor	1:6 ✺
07.12.25	Boluspor - Erzurumspor	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Sivasspor - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Boluspor - Amed SK	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW
- Fethiyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
21.12.25	Fethiyespor - Mardin 1969	0:0 ✺
16.12.25	Muş Spor - Fethiyespor	2:0 ✺
12.12.25	Fethiyespor - Guzide Gebzespor	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Fethiyespor - Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor	2:4 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.25	Fethiyespor - Bandırmaspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
19.10.22	Boluspor - Fethiyespor	1:0
Turkish First League
27.04.14	Fethiyespor - Boluspor	2:0
22.12.13	Boluspor - Fethiyespor	1:1

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