Match Info

1. Lig - Round 16

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Bolu Atatürk Stadyumu (Bolu)

Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Boluspor		Erzurumspor

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.14
	3.37	3.31	2.21
	3.08	3.44	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.2
	3.08	3.1	2.21	Watch
	3.14	3.14	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.51)	3.21 ↓ (3.4)	2.18 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boluspor
29.2%

Draw
28.6%

Erzurumspor
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

27.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boluspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boluspor's form might have worsened.

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erzurumspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boluspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erzurumspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Boluspor - Erzurumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Boluspor will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Erzurumspor will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boluspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Erzurumspor (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boluspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Erzurumspor (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Dirdiroglu T. (G) 2. Artan O. 24. Arslan K. 28. Kouagba L. 3. Lima L. 6. Cagiran B. 8. Lico D. 7. Alici B. 17. Davas D. 61. Akanbi R. 10. Hasani F.	31. Orbanic M. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 4. Gerxhaliu A. 22. Yumlu M. (C) 15. Giorbelidze G. 6. Baiye B. 77. Keser B. 24. Crociata G. 8. Akgun S. 2. Ulgen A. 10. Tozlu E.
Substitutes
34. Alpsoy H. 45. Boakye M. 81. Kazanci E. 22. Kulbilge B. (G) 33. Saygi A. 5. Senyurt D. 9. Usluoglu A. 55. Yerlikaya M. 46. Yildiz M. 23. Yilmaz C.	1. Anapa E. (G) 35. Erdem E. 16. Kabak A. 25. Kara O. 3. Kirtay Y. 98. Moradaoglu K. (G) 17. Sarikaya S. 29. Sylla C.
Coaches
Arslan E.	Ozbalta S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Lima L. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Davas D. ⚽, Lima L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Akgun S. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
46', Ulgen A. ↓, Kirtay Y. ↑,
57', Lico D. 🟨,
75', Akanbi R. ↓, Usluoglu A. ↑,
77', Cagiran B. 🟨,
77', Crociata G. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
78', Ovacikli O. 🟨,
81', Davas D. ↓, Boakye M. ↑,
81', Cagiran B. ↓, Senyurt D. ↑,
84', Keser B. ↓, Sarikaya S. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Boakye M. ⚽, Lima L. (A),
90+2', Alici B. ↓, Alpsoy H. ↑,
90+2', Lico D. ↓, Yilmaz C. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boluspor won 1.

Boluspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Erzurumspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boluspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Boluspor: Balburdia M. (Yellow Cards) Bilir E. (Suspended) Cakmak T. (Suspended) Cayli M. A. (Suspended) Dirdiroglu T. (Red Card) Kalburcu I. (Suspended) Kirim A. (Suspended) Ozdemir O. (Suspended) Oztonga O. (Yellow Cards) Uresin A. (Suspended)

There will not play in Erzurumspor: Akpinar M. (Suspended) Bayrak C. (Suspended) Kilinc K. (Inactive) Onal M. (Suspended) Ozhan F. (Suspended) Saglik S. (Inactive) Sasi F. (Inactive) Sever I. (Suspended) Yener H. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Boluspor: Elmaci M. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Boluspor won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boluspor won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boluspor
Turkish First League
30.11.25	Sivasspor - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Boluspor - Amed SK	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Bandırmaspor - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Boluspor - Bodrumspor	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Çorum - Boluspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWLWT
- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
29.11.25	Erzurumspor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	Igdirspor - Erzurumspor	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Erzurumspor - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Hatayspor - Erzurumspor	0:3 ✺
24.10.25	Erzurumspor - Umraniyespor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
02.03.25	Boluspor - Erzurumspor	0:0
04.10.24	Erzurumspor - Boluspor	1:0
25.02.24	Boluspor - Erzurumspor	1:0
01.10.23	Erzurumspor - Boluspor	1:0
21.05.23	Erzurumspor - Boluspor	2:0
25.12.22	Boluspor - Erzurumspor	3:1
16.04.22	Boluspor - Erzurumspor	0:2

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