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Current Win Probability
Boluspor 31.9%
Draw 29%
Kocaelispor 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.5%
30%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
29.8%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boluspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
12.5%
50%
Boluspor - Kocaelispor Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Boluspor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Akbaba C. (G) 2. Ulgen A. 35. Ozer F. 14. Ulas O. 13. Oulare N. 6. Guctekin O. K. 7. Yildiz B. 27. Avramovski D. 10. Jefferson 12. Mukairu P. 52. Yener H.
35. Degirmenci G. (G) 17. Caglayan O. 88. Osmanpasa C. 15. Serbest T. 3. Cinan M. 6. Pedrinho 4. Vukovic J. 22. Oguz A. 8. Celik C. 20. Mendes R. 7. Beridze G.
Substitutes
34. Anteplioglu K. (G) 24. Arslan K. 3. Atasayar O. 9. Aydin E. 15. Babacar K. 17. Bilgic H. 55. Estrela 36. Karaogul I. 89. Koc A. 19. Nas S.
70. Alici B. 21. Bilim E. 11. Caktas M. 19. Gedik E. 10. Marcao 41. Oztonga O. 9. Sagat A. 1. Tekin H. (G) 45. Tunali M. 32. Yilmaz M.
Coaches
Kahraman U.
Saglam E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Vukovic J. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Ozer F. ⚽, Ulas O. (A),
41', Pedrinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Beridze G. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
58', Ozer F. 🟨,
60', Yener H. ↓, Babacar K. ↑,
62', Oulare N. 🟨,
66', Vukovic J. ↓, Caktas M. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Mendes R. ⚽, Serbest T. (A),
72', Oulare N. 🟨,
73', Avramovski D. 🟨,
76', Cinan M. ↓, Gedik E. ↑,
78', Babacar K. 🟨,
79', Jefferson ↓, Estrela ↑,
88', Avramovski D. ↓, Aydin E. ↑,
88', Ulgen A. ↓, Bilgic H. ↑,
89', Oguz A. ↓, Yilmaz M. ↑,
89', Alici B. ↓, Marcao ↑,
90+6', 1 - 2, Marcao ⚽,
90+9', 1 - 3, Mendes R. ⚽, Caglayan O. (A),
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
Recent matches Boluspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kocaelispor is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Boluspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Boluspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Boluspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).