Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, TRT Spor


	Kocaelispor		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.46	4	5.5
	1.53	4.2	6
	1.51	4.21	6.29
	1.52	4.02	6.23	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.49	4.05	6.1
	1.53	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)	4.06 ↓ (4.23)	5.95 ↓ (6.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
61.8%

Draw
22.7%

Erokspor
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

20.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Kocaelispor - Erokspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Erokspor will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Degirmenci G. (C) 22. Oguz A. 88. Osmanpasa C. 15. Serbest T. 3. Cinan M. 6. Pedrinho 4. Vukovic J. 70. Alici B. 17. Caglayan O. 20. Mendes R. 10. Marcao	1. Kilicarslan E. (G) 77. Ceylan O. 14. Mert M. 5. Aytac S. 15. Nzaba F. 3. Korkmazoglu E. 26. Jack R. 4. Kacar T. 8. Karaman A. 9. Catakovic H. 21. Oscar Pinchi
Substitutes
7. Beridze G. 11. Caktas M. 8. Celik C. 19. Gedik E. 18. Gedik F. 41. Oztonga O. 9. Sagat A. 1. Tekin H. (G) 45. Tunali M. 32. Yilmaz M.	80. Aydogmus B. 78. Fernandes J. 99. Furat E. I. 10. Hidayetoglu A. 29. Jair 98. Kafkasyali E. (G) 41. Narin S. 34. Sahillioglu E. (G) 17. Toplu A.
Coaches
Saglam E.	Altiparmak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Catakovic H. ⚽, Ceylan O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, Catakovic H. ⚽, Kacar T. (A),
59', Alici B. ↓, Celik C. ↑,
59', Cinan M. ↓, Gedik E. ↑,
63', Jack R. 🟨,
69', Korkmazoglu E. ↓, Narin S. ↑,
69', Vukovic J. ↓, Caktas M. ↑,
74', Oscar Pinchi ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
87', Pedrinho ↓, Tunali M. ↑,
87', Mendes R. ↓, Yilmaz M. ↑,
87', Catakovic H. ↓, Aydogmus B. ↑,
88', Narin S. 🟨,
90+2', Oguz A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 15).

Kocaelispor in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Erokspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kocaelispor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kocaelispor is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kocaelispor to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kocaelispor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Including matches at home between the teams Kocaelispor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
07.12.24	Yeni Malatyaspor - Kocaelispor	1:3 ✺
29.11.24	Kocaelispor - Adanaspor	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Kocaelispor - Bandırmaspor	2:2 ✺
10.11.24	Sakaryaspor - Kocaelispor	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Kocaelispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWW
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
09.12.24	Erokspor - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.12.24	Karaman Belediyespor - Erokspor	0:2 ✺
Turkish First League
01.12.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erokspor	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Erokspor - Çorum	2:2 ✺
08.11.24	Ankaragücü - Erokspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
24.11.19	Kocaelispor - Erokspor	2:0

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