Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 13

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, TRT Spor


	Kocaelispor		Bandırmaspor

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.7
	1.9	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.92	3.35	4.46
	1.88	3.32	4.32	Watch
	1.83	3.25	3.9
	1.85	3.34	4.12	Watch
	1.9	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.86)	3.33 ↓ (3.44)	4.14 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
49.5%

Draw
28%

Bandırmaspor
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.3%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

30.9%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kocaelispor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Kocaelispor - Bandırmaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Degirmenci G. (C) 22. Oguz A. 5. Appindangoye A. 15. Serbest T. 3. Cinan M. 6. Pedrinho 4. Vukovic J. 8. Celik C. 7. Beridze G. 17. Caglayan O. 20. Mendes R.	1. Gorgen Z. (G) 77. Berisbek R. 35. Picinciol S. 33. Nukan A. 99. Genc F. C. 92. Mulumba R. 19. Nomel L. 41. Ozcan M. 91. Diniyev C. 11. Kaya I. 29. Paixao M.
Substitutes
70. Alici B. 11. Caktas M. 19. Gedik E. 18. Gedik F. 88. Osmanpasa C. 41. Oztonga O. 9. Sagat A. 1. Tekin H. (G) 45. Tunali M. 32. Yilmaz M.	3. Adiguzel B. 16. Alkan A. (G) 6. Ciftci H. 10. Diakhaby A. 4. Dilek Y. 20. Kesgin K. 23. Mexer 7. Paulinho 5. Rodrigo Alves 12. Zorluer Y. (G)
Coaches
Saglam E.	Gursel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Oguz A. 🟨,
17', Nomel L. ↓, Ciftci H. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Celik C. ⚽, Beridze G. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Nukan A. ⚽, Genc F. C. (A),
41', Berisbek R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 2, Vukovic J. (Own goal),
57', Kaya I. 🟨,
63', Beridze G. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
63', Celik C. ↓, Caktas M. ↑,
64', Appindangoye A. ↓, Osmanpasa C. ↑,
71', Kaya I. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
74', Vukovic J. ↓, Sagat A. ↑,
77', Paixao M. ↓, Kesgin K. ↑,
77', Diniyev C. ↓, Mexer ↑,
83', Oguz A. ↓, Yilmaz M. ↑,
86', Ozcan M. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Caglayan O. ⚽, Yilmaz M. (A),
90+5', Pedrinho 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Kocaelispor is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bandırmaspor is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Kocaelispor is a favorite.

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Sarman H. A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Louzif M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Aycicek L. (Knee Injury) Komur E. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kocaelispor won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:6 (average 2.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Kocaelispor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
10.11.24	Sakaryaspor - Kocaelispor	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Kocaelispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Ankaragücü - Kocaelispor	4:2 ✺
19.10.24	Kocaelispor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	İstanbulspor - Kocaelispor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW
- Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League
10.11.24	Bandırmaspor - Boluspor	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Adanaspor - Bandırmaspor	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Bandırmaspor - Sakaryaspor	3:2 ✺
19.10.24	Bandırmaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Umraniyespor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
28.04.24	Kocaelispor - Bandırmaspor	3:1
09.12.23	Bandırmaspor - Kocaelispor	0:3
16.04.22	Kocaelispor - Bandırmaspor	2:1
21.11.21	Bandırmaspor - Kocaelispor	1:0
Club Friendly
02.01.20	Bandırmaspor - Kocaelispor	3:3

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