Match Info

1. Lig - Round 30

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Bolu Atatürk Stadyumu (Bolu)

Referee: Kendirciler Y. A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Boluspor		Çorum

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.7	Watch
	4.18	3.87	1.68
	4.04	4.23	1.77
	3.55	4.09	1.84
	4	3.6	1.75
	3.9	3.82	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (2.55)	3.87 ↑ (3.45)	1.74 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boluspor
23.3%

Draw
23.8%

Çorum
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26.5%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

26%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boluspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boluspor's form might have worsened.

Çorum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Çorum's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boluspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çorum than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Çorum, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	20%	73.3%

Boluspor - Çorum Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Boluspor will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Çorum will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Çorum: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Çorum (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Çorum (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Çorum will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Çorum (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Dirdiroglu T. (G) 41. Oztonga O. 24. Arslan K. 28. Kouagba L. 3. Lima L. (C) 8. Lico D. 7. Alici B. 80. Balburdia M. 17. Davas D. 61. Akanbi R. 9. Usluoglu A.	13. Sehic I. (C) 22. Kalafat K. 5. Osmanoglu S. 15. Sengul A. 39. Kas E. 7. Gurler S. 16. Fredy 14. Pedrinho 77. Coban B. 17. Thiam M. 66. Ildiz A.
Substitutes
92. Acikgoz M. 35. Akkan G. 34. Alpsoy H. 10. Baluta A. 20. Cayli M. A. 4. Cetin M. 14. Kirim A. 22. Kulbilge B. (G) 33. Saygi A. 23. Yilmaz C.	8. Akkaynak A. 9. Aleksic D. 3. Attamah J. 10. Erdogan Y. 23. Ergun U. 20. Gurbulak O. 1. Kivanc A. (G) 18. Samudio B. 19. Sertel C. 6. Yazgan F.
Coaches
Kaya S.	Ucar U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Kalafat K. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Gurler S. ⚽, Fredy (A),
32', Thiam M. ↓, Samudio B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Coban B. ↓, Aleksic D. ↑,
46', Gurler S. ↓, Erdogan Y. ↑,
47', Balburdia M. 🟨,
54', Lima L. 🟨,
64', Akanbi R. ↓, Baluta A. ↑,
64', Oztonga O. ↓, Kirim A. ↑,
73', Ildiz A. ↓, Yazgan F. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Davas D. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Balburdia M. 🟨,
84', Arslan K. ↓, Cetin M. ↑,
90+3', Davas D. ↓, Acikgoz M. ↑,
90+3', Alici B. ↓, Alpsoy H. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Osmanoglu S. ⚽,
90+7', Kalafat K. ↓, Attamah J. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boluspor won 3.

Recent form of Boluspor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Çorum is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Boluspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Çorum will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Boluspor: Aderinola E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Çorum: Cangoz A. (Suspended) Geraldo (Inactive) Karadag E. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Boluspor: Aganspahic A. (Injury) Artan O. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Boluspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Boluspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	3:20	-17	1

Last Results with these Odds

Boluspor - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.86%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boluspor
Turkish First League
08.03.26	Boluspor - Igdirspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.03.26	İstanbulspor - Boluspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish First League
27.02.26	Erokspor - Boluspor	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Boluspor - İstanbulspor	0:1 ✺
17.02.26	Umraniyespor - Boluspor	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLLL
- Çorum FK
Turkish First League
07.03.26	Çorum - Hatayspor	3:1 ✺
02.03.26	Manisa FK - Çorum	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Çorum - Umraniyespor	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Serik Belediyespor - Çorum	2:3 ✺
13.02.26	Çorum - İstanbulspor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
26.10.25	Çorum - Boluspor	0:0
05.03.25	Çorum - Boluspor	0:2
Turkish Cup
26.02.25	Çorum - Boluspor	2:1
Turkish First League
20.10.24	Boluspor - Çorum	2:0
11.05.24	Boluspor - Çorum	2:1
25.12.23	Çorum - Boluspor	2:0

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