Match Info

1. Lig - Round 26

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ismail Ogan Stadium (Serik)

Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii


	Serik Belediyespor		Çorum

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.2	1.33	Watch
	9	5.75	1.22
	7.66	5.07	1.31	Watch
	7.72	5.31	1.35
	8.82	5.49	1.29
	7.5	4.8	1.33
	8.25	4.62	1.37	Watch
	7.5	5	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.99 ↑ (7.33)	5.03 ↑ (4.95)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serik Belediyespor
11.5%

Draw
18.3%

Çorum
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

18.5%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

14.2%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Çorum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çorum than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Çorum, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Serik Belediyespor - Çorum Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Çorum will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Çorum: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Sapan V. (G) 22. Ceylan B. 4. Martynov A. 28. Montes A. 5. Demir C. 98. Topalli J. 58. Asan B. 20. Dilli S. (C) 44. Cavlan C. 79. Altiparmak G. 77. Nalepa M.	13. Sehic I. (G) 23. Ergun U. 5. Osmanoglu S. 15. Sengul A. 39. Kas E. 6. Yazgan F. (C) 18. Samudio B. 16. Fredy 14. Pedrinho 10. Erdogan Y. 17. Thiam M.
Substitutes
14. Adeola R. 39. Demirozu M. 61. Ibrahimoglu M. 27. Karakaya B. (G) 95. Koc A. 88. Nefiz E. 40. Nwachukwu C. 70. Ozcan S. 55. Skvortsov L. 2. Tashkyn S.	27. Akinay H. (G) 8. Akkaynak A. 9. Aleksic D. 3. Attamah J. 77. Coban B. 20. Gurbulak O. 66. Ildiz A. 22. Kalafat K. 19. Sertel C. 21. Zubairu I.
Coaches
Pasali S.	Eroglu H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Topalli J. ⚽, Nalepa M. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Thiam M. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Kas E. 🟨,
39', 2 - 1, Demir C. ⚽, Martynov A. (A),
45+5', Asan B. 🟨,
45+5', Yazgan F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Yazgan F. ↓, Gurbulak O. ↑,
46', Erdogan Y. ↓, Coban B. ↑,
49', 2 - 2, Coban B. ⚽, Ergun U. (A),
52', 2 - 3, Coban B. ⚽, Thiam M. (A),
59', Dilli S. 🟨,
61', Cavlan C. ↓, Nwachukwu C. ↑,
71', Fredy ↓, Ildiz A. ↑,
73', Sengul A. 🟨,
84', Sengul A. ↓, Attamah J. ↑,
84', Samudio B. ↓, Aleksic D. ↑,
84', Ceylan B. ↓, Skvortsov L. ↑,
84', Topalli J. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
84', Nalepa M. ↓, Adeola R. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent form of Serik Belediyespor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Çorum's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Çorum is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Serik Belediyespor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Serik Belediyespor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
14.02.26	Bandırmaspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:3 ✺
08.02.26	Serik Belediyespor - Igdirspor	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Bodrumspor - Serik Belediyespor	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Serik Belediyespor - Erokspor	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Umraniyespor - Serik Belediyespor	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.2 WLLLL
- Çorum FK
Turkish First League
13.02.26	Çorum - İstanbulspor	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Vanspor - Çorum	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Çorum - Keçiörengücü	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Sarıyer - Çorum	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Amed SK - Çorum	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
23.09.25	Çorum - Serik Belediyespor	1:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
06.02.22	Serik Belediyespor - Çorum	0:1
02.10.21	Çorum - Serik Belediyespor	1:0
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
27.10.18	Serik Belediyespor - Çorum	1:0

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