Match Info

1. Lig - Round 28

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Esenler Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erokspor		Boluspor

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.6	4.1
	1.47	4.19	5.77	Watch
	1.48	4.35	6.68
	1.49	4.42	5.89	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.42	4.2	6.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	4.16 ↓ (4.22)	5.76 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erokspor
61.8%

Draw
22.2%

Boluspor
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

21.3%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Boluspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Erokspor - Boluspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Boluspor (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Erokspor will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boluspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Cetin E. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 15. Nzaba F. 14. Ulas O. 33. Alic E. 5. Okyar M. 89. Amilton 6. Jack R. (C) 99. Beyaz O. 11. Faye M. 7. Catakovic H.	22. Kulbilge B. (G) 2. Artan O. 24. Arslan K. 28. Kouagba L. 3. Lima L. (C) 80. Balburdia M. 5. Senyurt D. 10. Baluta A. 6. Dikbasan E. 61. Akanbi R. 9. Usluoglu A.
Substitutes
97. Cavare D. 19. Gedik E. 8. Karaman A. 10. Kayode O. 17. Korkmaz E. 73. Lus B. 1. Tetik B. (G)	11. Aganspahic A. 35. Akkan G. 34. Alpsoy H. 20. Cayli M. A. 4. Cetin M. 91. Dirdiroglu T. (G) 14. Kirim A. 41. Oztonga O. 77. Uresin A. 23. Yilmaz C.
Coaches
Ozkoylu O.	Kaya S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Artan O. ↓, Oztonga O. ↑,
42', Jack R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Amilton ⚽,
50', Alic E. 🟨,
55', Baluta A. ↓, Aganspahic A. ↑,
69', Balburdia M. ↓, Cayli M. A. ↑,
69', Aganspahic A. ↓, Alpsoy H. ↑,
70', Jack R. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
70', Catakovic H. ↓, Kayode O. ↑,
85', Amilton ↓, Lus B. ↑,
90', Oztonga O. 🟨,
90+2', Faye M. ↓, Gedik E. ↑,
90+3', Beyaz O. ↓, Cavare D. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Gedik E. ⚽, Lus B. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 12).

Erokspor is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Boluspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Erokspor is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Erokspor: Niyaz R. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Boluspor: Davas D. (Yellow Cards) Lico D. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Boluspor: Alici B. (Injury)

We predict that Erokspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	3:20	-17	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erokspor
Turkish First League
21.02.26	Igdirspor - Erokspor	0:3 ✺
17.02.26	İstanbulspor - Erokspor	1:4 ✺
13.02.26	Erokspor - Manisa FK	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Hatayspor - Erokspor	0:5 ✺
02.02.26	Erokspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Boluspor
Turkish First League
21.02.26	Boluspor - İstanbulspor	0:1 ✺
17.02.26	Umraniyespor - Boluspor	4:2 ✺
13.02.26	Boluspor - Hatayspor	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Manisa FK - Boluspor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.02.26	Boluspor - Alanyaspor	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
03.10.25	Boluspor - Erokspor	1:3
02.02.25	Erokspor - Boluspor	1:1
24.08.24	Boluspor - Erokspor	2:1

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