Match Info

Goiano 2 - Round 17

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Bom Jesus		Morrinhos

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.40	4.60
	1.64	3.51	5	Watch
	1.72	3.40	4.45
	1.65	3.30	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	3.4 ↓ (3.53)	4.76 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bom Jesus
54.4%

Draw
26.6%

Morrinhos
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bom Jesus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Morrinhos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bom Jesus than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morrinhos than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Bom Jesus - Morrinhos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, ⚽,
86', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Goiano and 5th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Bom Jesus could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Morrinhos has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bom Jesus carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Bom Jesus has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bom Jesus	17	8	7	2	24:15	9	31
5	Morrinhos	17	6	4	7	24:24	0	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bom Jesus EC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano 2
23.09.26	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Bom Jesus	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Bom Jesus - Goiânia	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Bom Jesus - São Luís AC	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Bom Jesus - Mineiros	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Goiânia - Bom Jesus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTWLW
- Morrinhos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano 2
27.09.26	Morrinhos - São Luís AC	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Goiânia - Morrinhos	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Morrinhos - Rio Verde	0:0 ✺
14.09.26	Morrinhos - Trindade	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Morrinhos - Goianésia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano 2
29.07.26	Morrinhos - Bom Jesus	1:2

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