Match Info

Goiano 2 - Round 12

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Morrinhos		Trindade

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.20	3.90
	1.72	3.38	4.64	Watch
	1.81	3.30	4.05
	1.78	3.16	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	4.23 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morrinhos
50.9%

Draw
27.7%

Trindade
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.8%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

22.7%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morrinhos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Trindade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morrinhos than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morrinhos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trindade than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Morrinhos - Trindade Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Goiano 3).

Morrinhos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Trindade has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Morrinhos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Morrinhos is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Morrinhos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Morrinhos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Morrinhos	17	6	4	7	24:24	0	22
10	Trindade ✔	18	2	6	10	15:28	-13	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morrinhos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano 2
05.09.26	Morrinhos - Goianésia	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Morrinhos - Tupy de Jussara	1:3 ✺
26.08.26	Trindade - Morrinhos	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Morrinhos - Goiânia	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Goianésia - Morrinhos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTWL
- Trindade AC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano 2
09.09.26	Trindade - Rio Verde	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Trindade - Goiânia	0:0 ✺
01.09.26	Rio Verde - Trindade	1:0 ✺
26.08.26	Trindade - Morrinhos	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Goianésia - Trindade	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano 2
26.08.26	Trindade - Morrinhos	2:2
13.07.25	Trindade - Morrinhos	2:1
08.06.25	Morrinhos - Trindade	0:1

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