Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Sportpark Nord (Bonn)


	Bonner		Fortuna Köln

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.7	1.78
	3.88	3.75	1.8
	3.99	3.7	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (4.17)	3.72 ↑ (3.71)	1.77 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonner
23.6%

Draw
24.7%

Fortuna Köln
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

24.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

24.1%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Fortuna Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonner than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Bonner - Fortuna Köln Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bonner won 1.

Bonner is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Fortuna Köln has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Fortuna Köln is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bonner won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bonner won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonner SC
German Regionalliga West
30.08.25	Bonner - Bocholt	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Bonner	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Bonner	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Bonner - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	0:3 ✺
26.07.25	Bochum II - Bonner	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLLW
- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
30.08.25	Fortuna Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Gütersloh - Fortuna Köln	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Fortuna Köln - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	5:1 ✺
09.08.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Fortuna Köln	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	Fortuna Köln - Bochum II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
02.03.22	Fortuna Köln - Bonner	1:2
15.09.21	Bonner - Fortuna Köln	0:2
20.03.21	Bonner - Fortuna Köln	1:2
21.10.20	Fortuna Köln - Bonner	4:1
22.02.20	Bonner - Fortuna Köln	2:2
07.09.19	Fortuna Köln - Bonner	0:1
Club Friendly
16.01.19	Fortuna Köln - Bonner	1:2

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