Match Info

3. Liga - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Südstadion (Cologne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Grund F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Germany	14:00	Magenta Sport, SR Fernsehen, WDR Fernsehen
Switzerland	14:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
International	12:00	OneFootball TV


	Fortuna Köln		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.40	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3.50	2.20
	3.20	3.50	2.05	Watch
	2.97	3.80	2.24
	3.18	3.7	2.06	Watch
	2.90	3.70	2.20
	2.90	3.52	2.10	Watch
	2.90	3.55	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.73)	3.58 ↓ (3.88)	2.15 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Köln
31.1%

Draw
25.8%

Saarbrücken
43.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.9%

24%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

24.3%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortuna Köln's performance.

Saarbrücken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saarbrücken might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Köln that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saarbrücken could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fortuna Köln - Saarbrücken Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Winkler L. (G) 17. Heister F. 5. Funger S. 15. Al-Azzawe D. (C) 3. Fischer M. 6. Geerkens T. 11. Strauch G. 20. Stanilewicz A. 38. Broger B. 30. Aigbekaen R. 7. Thier N.	1. Bignetti M. (G) 42. Fahrner P. 21. Cvjetinovic M. 4. Voet S. 28. Bretschneider N. 16. Lee Seung-Joon 5. Gleiber D. 19. Vasiliadis S. 20. Pick F. (C) 9. Brunker K. 29. Staff A.
Substitutes
18. Al Ghaddioui H. 19. Bornemann T. 14. Harenbrock C. 2. Krumme K. 37. Mause J. 16. Michelbrink J. 23. Savic D. 31. Telle N. 25. Zich B. (G)	3. Bauerle A. 33. Broll K. (G) 22. Caliskaner K. 8. Gurpuz G. 15. Kamara A. 10. Kuhlwetter C. 31. Owusu K. 7. Rizzuto C. 14. Shuaib Z.
Coaches
Mink M.	Giannikis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Bretschneider N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Staff A. ↓, Caliskaner K. ↑,
61', Lee Seung-Joon ↓, Owusu K. ↑,
61', Broger B. ↓, Mause J. ↑,
61', Thier N. ↓, Harenbrock C. ↑,
61', Brunker K. ↓, Kuhlwetter C. ↑,
77', Vasiliadis S. ↓, Shuaib Z. ↑,
80', Heister F. ↓, Savic D. ↑,
80', Aigbekaen R. ↓, Bornemann T. ↑,
89', Savic D. 🟨,
90+2', Kuhlwetter C. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 4th).

In recent outings, Fortuna Köln has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Saarbrücken is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Saarbrücken may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Saarbrücken is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Fortuna Köln has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fortuna Köln against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Saarbrucken	11	5	2	4	26:20	6	17
19	Fortuna Koln	11	2	4	5	8:12	-4	10

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Saarbrucken: 6.23% Fortuna Koln: 0.55%

Last Results with these Odds

Saarbrücken - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.1%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
25.09.26	TSV Havelse - Fortuna Köln	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Fortuna Köln - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Hoffenheim II - Fortuna Köln	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Fortuna Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Verl - Fortuna Köln	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTTW
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Saarbrücken - Nancy	2:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Saarbrücken - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Preußen Münster - Saarbrücken	3:3 ✺
12.09.26	Saarbrücken - Ingolstadt	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Meppen - Saarbrücken	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.01.23	Saarbrücken - Fortuna Köln	2:1
11.07.17	Fortuna Köln - Saarbrücken	1:1
20.07.16	Saarbrücken - Fortuna Köln	2:1
07.07.14	Saarbrücken - Fortuna Köln	0:1

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