Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Fortuna Köln		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.40	2.00	Watch
	3.10	3.75	2.10
	2.90	3.45	2.20	Watch
	3.18	3.73	2.07
	3.1	3.72	2.06	Watch
	3.10	3.60	2.02
	3.09	3.54	2.00
	3.05	3.55	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.73)	3.59 ↓ (3.88)	2.06 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Köln
30%

Draw
25.6%

Saarbrücken
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

24%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

24.8%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortuna Köln's performance.

Saarbrücken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saarbrücken might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Köln that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saarbrücken could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Fortuna Köln - Saarbrücken Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 4th).

In recent outings, Fortuna Köln has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Saarbrücken shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Fortuna Köln could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Saarbrücken is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Fortuna Köln has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fortuna Köln against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Saarbrucken: 8.22% Fortuna Koln: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Saarbrucken	7	4	1	2	19:12	7	13
12	Fortuna Koln	7	2	3	2	8:8	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Saarbrücken - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.1%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
25.09.26	TSV Havelse - Fortuna Köln	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Fortuna Köln - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Hoffenheim II - Fortuna Köln	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Fortuna Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Verl - Fortuna Köln	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTTW
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Saarbrücken - Nancy	2:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Saarbrücken - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Preußen Münster - Saarbrücken	3:3 ✺
12.09.26	Saarbrücken - Ingolstadt	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Meppen - Saarbrücken	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.01.23	Saarbrücken - Fortuna Köln	2:1
11.07.17	Fortuna Köln - Saarbrücken	1:1
20.07.16	Saarbrücken - Fortuna Köln	2:1
07.07.14	Saarbrücken - Fortuna Köln	0:1

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