Match Info

Date: 9 October 2021, Saturday


	Bonner		Homberg

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.25
	2.05	3.3	3.25
	2.04	3.35	3.3
	2.09	3.39	3.43
	2.08	3.5	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2)	3.39 ↑ (3.35)	3.33 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonner
45.1%

Draw
27.2%

Homberg
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

21%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Homberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonner than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bonner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homberg than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Homberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bonner - Homberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Bonner is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Homberg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bonner could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bonner will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bonner won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Bonner won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonner SC
Club Friendly
05.10.21	Siegburger - Bonner	2:3 ✺
German Regionalliga West
02.10.21	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Bonner	2:1 ✺
25.09.21	Bonner - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:3 ✺
19.09.21	Bonner - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
15.09.21	Bonner - Fortuna Köln	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLTL
- VfB Homberg
German Regionalliga West
06.10.21	Homberg - Straelen	0:1 ✺
02.10.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Homberg	4:0 ✺
25.09.21	Homberg - Fortuna Köln	0:0 ✺
18.09.21	Wuppertal - Homberg	3:1 ✺
10.09.21	Rot-Weiß Essen - Homberg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
15.05.21	Bonner - Homberg	2:1
28.11.20	Homberg - Bonner	3:1
26.10.19	Homberg - Bonner	2:0

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