Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 4

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: New Dundas Park (Bonnyrigg)


	Bonnyrigg Rose		Airdrieonians

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.9
	3.30	3.50	1.87
	3.25	3.55	1.98
	3.31	4.03	2.01
	3.31	3.98	1.94	Watch
	3.1	3.95	1.87
	3.41	3.61	1.96
	3.15	3.5	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (4.06)	3.7 ↓ (3.82)	1.93 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bonnyrigg Rose
28%

Draw
24.7%

Airdrieonians
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

23.9%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

24.4%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonnyrigg Rose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bonnyrigg Rose's performance.

Airdrieonians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Airdrieonians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bonnyrigg Rose that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Airdrieonians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Bonnyrigg Rose - Airdrieonians Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bonnyrigg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Airdrieonians will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonnyrigg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
21', 0 - 1, Iserhienrhien D. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Currie L. ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, Iserhienrhien D. ⚽, Gibson L. (A),
33', 1 - 3, Gallagher G. ⚽, Tumilty R. (A),
35', 1 - 4, Martyniuk N. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', 1 - 5, Gallagher G. ⚽, Trialist B (A),
88', 1 - 6, Trialist B ⚽, Gallagher G. (A),

Preview

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Bonnyrigg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Airdrieonians holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Bonnyrigg has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bonnyrigg against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Airdrieonians ✔	5	4	0	1	18:6	12	12
18	Bonnyrigg Rose	5	3	0	2	8:10	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish Lowland League
16.09.26	Gala Fairydean - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	East Kilbride - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1 ✺
25.08.26	Bonnyrigg Rose - Glasgow Rangers B	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Bonnyrigg Rose - Annan Athletic	1:0 ✺
Scottish Lowland League
28.07.26	Boness United - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWWW
- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish League One
19.09.26	Peterhead - Airdrieonians	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Airdrieonians - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	Airdrieonians - St. Mirren 2	1:0 ✺
Scottish League One
05.09.26	Queen of the South - Airdrieonians	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Airdrieonians - East Fife	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
15.07.25	Airdrieonians - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:0
29.07.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Airdrieonians	0:1

Upcoming Matches