Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Bonsucesso		Nova Cidade

	1	X	2
	1.65	2.82	6.7
	1.93	2.97	4.28	Watch
	1.66	2.98	6.23
	1.52	3.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.47)	3.12 ↓ (3.7)	5.8 ↓ (6.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonsucesso
54.5%

Draw
29.6%

Nova Cidade
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

24.5%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

22.9%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonsucesso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bonsucesso's form might have worsened.

Nova Cidade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonsucesso than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bonsucesso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Cidade than the current prediction. (-3%)

Bonsucesso - Nova Cidade Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

Bonsucesso has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nova Cidade has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nova Cidade may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nova Cidade has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bonsucesso is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Bonsucesso will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonsucesso FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
18.10.25	Niteroiense - Bonsucesso	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Bonsucesso - Paduano	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Bonsucesso - Duque de Caxias	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Campo Grande - Bonsucesso	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	São Cristóvão - Bonsucesso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWTW
- EC Nova Cidade
Brazilian Carioca B1
18.10.25	Nova Cidade - Artsul	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Nova Cidade - Petrópolis	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Nova Cidade - São Cristóvão	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Nova Cidade - Niteroiense	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Paduano - Nova Cidade	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTTL

Bonsucesso - Nova Cidade: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide