Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Niteroiense		Bonsucesso

	1	X	2
	2.67	2.56	2.95
	1.54	3.22	7.95	Watch
	2.78	2.88	2.68
	3.25	3.05	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (3.2)	2.93 ↓ (3.14)	3.94 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niteroiense
39.6%

Draw
34.6%

Bonsucesso
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

29%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

28.2%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niteroiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Niteroiense's performance.

Bonsucesso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bonsucesso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niteroiense than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Niteroiense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonsucesso than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bonsucesso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Niteroiense - Bonsucesso Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Niteroiense (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Niteroiense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 2 - 2, ⚽,
89', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In recent matches, Niteroiense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bonsucesso is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bonsucesso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bonsucesso might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Niteroiense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Niteroiense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niteroiense FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
10.10.25	Artsul - Niteroiense	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Niteroiense - Serrano FC	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Petrópolis - Niteroiense	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Niteroiense - Carapebus Campos	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Nova Cidade - Niteroiense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWLT
- Bonsucesso FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
11.10.25	Bonsucesso - Paduano	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Bonsucesso - Duque de Caxias	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Campo Grande - Bonsucesso	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	São Cristóvão - Bonsucesso	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Bonsucesso - Artsul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B2
25.11.24	Bonsucesso - Niteroiense	3:4
20.11.24	Niteroiense - Bonsucesso	0:2
14.11.24	Bonsucesso - Niteroiense	2:1

Niteroiense - Bonsucesso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide