Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	Bonsucesso		Serra Macaense

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.1	3.1	2.08
	3.2	3.15	2
	3.41	3.15	2.17
	3.25	3.24	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.52)	3.17 ↑ (3.16)	2.09 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonsucesso
28.2%

Draw
28.6%

Serra Macaense
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

28.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

22.1%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonsucesso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Serra Macaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonsucesso than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bonsucesso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra Macaense than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serra Macaense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bonsucesso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Serra Macaense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonsucesso FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.10.20	Bonsucesso - Artsul	Artsul awarded ✺
10.10.20	Goytacaz - Bonsucesso	2:1 ✺
04.10.20	Bonsucesso - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Campos - Bonsucesso	0:0 ✺
23.09.20	São Gonçalo - Bonsucesso	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 ?LTTW
- Serra Macaense
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
28.10.20	Serra Macaense - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
18.10.20	Petrópolis - Serra Macaense	1:1 ✺
14.10.20	Serra Macaense - Maricá	0:0 ✺
11.10.20	Rio São Paulo - Serra Macaense	0:1 ✺
07.10.20	Serra Macaense - Duque de Caxias	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTTWT

Bonsucesso - Serra Macaense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide