Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group A - Round 22

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday


	Borgaro		Vogherese

	1	X	2
	4.89	3.73	1.63	Watch
	5	3.4	1.6
	4.87	3.78	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↑ (3.94)	3.64 ↑ (3.2)	1.61 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borgaro
18.5%

Draw
25%

Vogherese
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

28.7%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

28.6%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borgaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Vogherese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vogherese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borgaro than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vogherese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Borgaro - Vogherese Predictions

Users Predictions: Vogherese will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Ferram J. ⚽,
65', 🟥,
69', 1 - 1, Monza E. (Pen),
77', 🟥,
84', 2 - 1, Albisetti F. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).

Borgaro is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vogherese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vogherese is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Borgaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borgaro 1965
Italian Serie D - Group A
12.01.25	Gozzano - Borgaro	3:2 ✺
05.01.25	Borgaro - Cairese	1:3 ✺
22.12.24	Borgaro - Chieri	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Bra - Borgaro	5:0 ✺
08.12.24	Borgaro - Chisola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL
- AVC Vogherese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
12.01.25	Vogherese - Ligorna	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Varese - Vogherese	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Oltrepo - Vogherese	2:2 ✺
15.12.24	Vogherese - Imperia	1:4 ✺
08.12.24	Vogherese - Albenga	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
18.09.24	Vogherese - Borgaro	1:2

Borgaro - Vogherese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide