Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group A - Round 20

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday


	Varese		Vogherese

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.5	5.75
	1.54	3.55	6
				Watch
	1.55	3.74	5.36
	1.54	3.55	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.42)	3.59 ↓ (4.28)	5.78 ↓ (6.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
59%

Draw
25.3%

Vogherese
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

21.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

20.4%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varese's form might have worsened.

Vogherese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Varese - Vogherese Predictions

Users Predictions: Varese will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Vitofrancesco F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 2 - 0, Bonaccorsi S. ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).

Città di Varese in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Vogherese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Città di Varese is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Città di Varese to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Città di Varese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Città di Varese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group A
22.12.24	Varese - Gozzano	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Cairese - Varese	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Varese - Bra	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Varese - Chieri	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Lavagnese - Varese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWTWW
- AVC Vogherese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
22.12.24	Oltrepo - Vogherese	2:2 ✺
15.12.24	Vogherese - Imperia	1:4 ✺
08.12.24	Vogherese - Albenga	4:1 ✺
01.12.24	Gozzano - Vogherese	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Vogherese - Cairese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
08.09.24	Vogherese - Varese	2:2
28.04.24	Varese - Vogherese	0:0
17.12.23	Vogherese - Varese	0:2

Varese - Vogherese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide