Match Info

Date: 20 April 2022, Wednesday


	Borgo San Donnino		Sasso Marconi

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	2.65
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.58	3	2.56
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.65	2.99	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.64)	2.98 ↑ (2.94)	2.67 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borgo San Donnino
36%

Draw
30.3%

Sasso Marconi
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

30.5%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

30.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borgo San Donnino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Sasso Marconi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borgo San Donnino than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Borgo San Donnino - Sasso Marconi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Borgo San Donnino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sasso Marconi has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sasso Marconi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Borgo San Donnino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borgo San Donnino
Italian Serie D - Group D
14.04.22	Bagnolese - Borgo San Donnino	0:0 ✺
10.04.22	Borgo San Donnino - Prato	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Lentigione - Borgo San Donnino	3:1 ✺
26.03.22	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Borgo San Donnino	4:3 ✺
13.03.22	Borgo San Donnino - Seravezza Pozzi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTLLW
- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
14.04.22	Sasso Marconi - Real Forte Querceta	3:1 ✺
10.04.22	Mezzolara - Sasso Marconi	2:1 ✺
27.03.22	Sasso Marconi - Tritium	1:2 ✺
13.03.22	Sammaurese - Sasso Marconi	2:0 ✺
06.03.22	Sasso Marconi - Prato	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
14.11.21	Sasso Marconi - Borgo San Donnino	1:1

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