The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lentigione 63.7%
Draw 21.7%
Borgo San Donnino 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.6%
21.6%
10.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.2%
21.1%
10.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lentigione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Borgo San Donnino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lentigione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borgo San Donnino than the current prediction. (-4%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Bertipagani T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, Ferretti A. ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, Formato A. ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, Sala F. ⚽,
71', 🟥,
90+5', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Lentigione is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Borgo San Donnino is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lentigione could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Lentigione is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Lentigione won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Lentigione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.