Match Info

Date: 17 March 2021, Wednesday


	Borgosesia		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.7	1.75
	3.75	3.55	1.78
	3.94	3.8	1.83
	3	3.2	2.15
	3.82	3.7	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (2.99)	3.59 ↑ (3.2)	1.86 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borgosesia
25.1%

Draw
25.6%

Folgore Caratese
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

28.2%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

20.7%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borgosesia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Folgore Caratese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borgosesia than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borgosesia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Folgore Caratese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Borgosesia - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie D to Group A and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Borgosesia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Folgore Caratese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Borgosesia won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Borgosesia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borgosesia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
13.03.21	Borgosesia - Lavagnese	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Borgosesia - Unione Sanremo	1:1 ✺
28.02.21	Fossano - Borgosesia	0:3 ✺
24.02.21	Borgosesia - Vado	1:2 ✺
20.02.21	Imperia - Borgosesia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWLL
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group A
07.03.21	PDHAE - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
28.02.21	Folgore Caratese - Bra	1:4 ✺
24.02.21	Derthona - Folgore Caratese	1:2 ✺
21.02.21	Folgore Caratese - Saluzzo	4:1 ✺
07.02.21	Gozzano - Folgore Caratese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
27.09.20	Folgore Caratese - Borgosesia	2:2
17.02.19	Borgosesia - Folgore Caratese	1:1
28.10.18	Folgore Caratese - Borgosesia	1:1
04.02.18	Folgore Caratese - Borgosesia	0:3
01.10.17	Borgosesia - Folgore Caratese	1:0
18.12.16	Borgosesia - Folgore Caratese	3:1

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