Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 18

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Borgosesia		Vado

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.35
	2.63	3.44	2.29
	2.71	3.45	2.24
	2.78	3.05	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.54)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)	2.32 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borgosesia
33.6%

Draw
27.5%

Vado
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

28.8%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borgosesia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borgosesia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vado than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borgosesia won 0.

Borgosesia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vado is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Borgosesia won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Borgosesia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borgosesia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
10.12.23	Borgosesia - Alcione	0:5 ✺
03.12.23	Lavagnese - Borgosesia	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Gozzano - Borgosesia	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Borgosesia - Vogherese	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Derthona - Borgosesia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLT
- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
10.12.23	Vado - Bra	2:2 ✺
03.12.23	Vogherese - Vado	0:2 ✺
26.11.23	Vado - Lavagnese	3:0 ✺
19.11.23	Chisola - Vado	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
15.11.23	Vado - Casatese	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
01.03.23	Borgosesia - Vado	0:1
05.10.22	Vado - Borgosesia	3:2
30.03.22	Vado - Borgosesia	1:1
14.11.21	Borgosesia - Vado	0:0
24.02.21	Borgosesia - Vado	1:2
07.10.20	Vado - Borgosesia	2:0
15.12.19	Vado - Borgosesia	2:2

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