Match Info

Date: 24 February 2021, Wednesday


	Derthona		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	3.05	3.25	2.12
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.08	3.3	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.09)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	2.15 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona
29.7%

Draw
28.3%

Folgore Caratese
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.2%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

22.2%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derthona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Folgore Caratese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Derthona - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 9).

HSL Derthona is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Folgore Caratese is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Folgore Caratese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Folgore Caratese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches HSL Derthona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
20.02.21	Sestri Levante - Derthona	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Derthona - Caronnese	1:2 ✺
07.02.21	Derthona - Varese	0:1 ✺
03.02.21	PDHAE - Derthona	0:0
31.01.21	Derthona - Chieri	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTT
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.02.21	Folgore Caratese - Saluzzo	4:1 ✺
07.02.21	Gozzano - Folgore Caratese	1:0 ✺
03.02.21	Folgore Caratese - Castellanzese	3:3 ✺
31.01.21	Lavagnese - Folgore Caratese	0:5 ✺
27.01.21	Varese - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
07.10.20	Folgore Caratese - Derthona	0:1

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