Match Info

3. Lig Group 4 - Round 23

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Bornova		Denizli İY Güreller

	1	X	2
	2.92	3	1.85
	3.18	3.28	2.14	Watch
	3.33	3.35	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.28)	3.21 ↓ (3.4)	1.99 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bornova
28.1%

Draw
27.5%

Denizli İY Güreller
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

26.6%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

25.5%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bornova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Denizli İY Güreller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bornova than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizli İY Güreller than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Bornova - Denizli İY Güreller Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Cirit A. ⚽, Bilici O. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).

Recent performances by Bornova have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Denizli İY is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Denizli İY might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bornova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Denizli IY Gureller	29	14	4	11	34:30	4	46
14	Bornova 1877	29	5	6	18	34:64	-30	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bornova FK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
22.02.26	Ayvalıkgücü - Bornova	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Bornova - Uşak Belediyespor	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	Altay - Bornova	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Izmir Çoruhlu - Bornova	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Bornova - Eskişehir Anadolu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLWW
- Denizli İY Güreller
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
22.02.26	Denizli İY Güreller - Eskişehirspor	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Denizli İY Güreller - Afjet Afyonspor	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Ayvalıkgücü - Denizli İY Güreller	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Denizli İY Güreller - Uşak Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Altay - Denizli İY Güreller	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
25.10.25	Denizli İY Güreller - Bornova	1:0

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