Match Info
3. Lig Group 4 - Round 21Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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Bornova |
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Uşak Belediyespor |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.92 |
3.15 |
2.1 |
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 |
3.02 |
3.25 |
2.25 |
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2.64 |
3.78 |
2.25 |
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2.9 |
3.1 |
2.2 |
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2.98 |
3.4 |
2.22 |
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3 |
3.25 |
2.14 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↓
(3.64) |
3.32 ↓
(3.38) |
2.19 ↑
(1.8) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bornova
31.2% | Draw
27.4% | Uşak Belediyespor
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bornova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bornova's performance.Uşak Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Uşak Belediyespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bornova than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bornova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uşak Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Uşak Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Bornova - Uşak Belediyespor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Gundogdu B. ⚽, Kunat M. F. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Kuzey A. ⚽, Yilmaz B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 65', 1 - 2, Kunat M. F. ⚽,
- 88', 1 - 3, Akyildiz E. ⚽, Calik Y. (A),
- 90', 2 - 3, Abbak A. ⚽, Buyukdere E. (A),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Uşak Belediyespor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Bornova has had a series of away games. In this match, Uşak Belediyespor is the team to beat.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bornova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Usak Belediyespor | 29 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 32:35 | -3 | 45 |
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| 14 | Bornova 1877 | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 34:64 | -30 | 21 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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