Match Info
3. Lig Group 4 - Round 28Date: 5 April 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Turkey | Sifir |
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Bornova |
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Karşıyaka |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
5.9 |
4.35 |
1.36 |
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 |
4.69 |
5.62 |
1.39 |
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5.1 |
5.52 |
1.41 |
 Watch |
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5 |
4.8 |
1.4 |
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 |
4.95 |
5.25 |
1.41 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.13 ↓
(7.13) |
5.11 ↑
(3.99) |
1.39 ↑
(1.31) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bornova
17.6% | Draw
17.7% | Karşıyaka
64.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bornova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bornova's performance.Karşıyaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bornova than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bornova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karşıyaka than the current prediction. (+3%)Bornova - Karşıyaka Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Inan O. ⚽, Ozturk E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 68', 0 - 2, Aslan M. ⚽, Ozturk E. (A),
- 76', 0 - 3, Sezgin O. F. ⚽, Ozturk E. (A),
- 80', 0 - 4, Eroglu A. ⚽, Aslan M. (A),
- 84', 0 - 5, Arslan M. ⚽, Aslan M. (A),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )). Karşıyaka is Qualified for 3. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs )Bornova has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Karşıyaka is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins). In this match, Karşıyaka is the clear favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bornova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).Including home match between the teams, Bornova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Karsiyaka ✔ | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 63:18 | 45 | 66 |
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| 14 | Bornova 1877 | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 34:64 | -30 | 21 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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