Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: New Tivoli (Aachen)

Referee: Grund F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Alemannia Aachen		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.6
	1.95	3.25	3.55
	2.06	3.65	3.78
	1.95	3.58	3.66	Watch
	2	3.25	3.4
	1.93	3.52	3.57	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.91)	3.41 ↓ (3.51)	3.59 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alemannia Aachen
47.1%

Draw
27.1%

Borussia Dortmund II
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

26.3%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

25.8%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alemannia Aachen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Alemannia Aachen - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aachen will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Olschowsky J. (G) 19. Heister F. 15. Hanraths M. (C) 34. Nkoa P. 4. Meyer F. 8. Scepanik L. 9. Bahn B. 46. Gaudino G. 5. Strujic S. 18. El-Faouzi S. 10. Bakhat A.	35. Lotka M. (G) 17. Gobel P. 15. Huning B. 34. Luhrs Y. 42. Kabar A. 8. Roggow F. (C) 38. Watjen K. 14. Eberwein M. 10. Elongo-Yombo R. 23. Paulina J. 37. Campbell C.
Substitutes
29. Beleme D. 35. Benschop C. 44. Castelle N. H. 21. Heinz A. 1. Johnen M. (G) 13. Rumpf J. 28. Wiebe D. 30. Winter N. 25. Yarbrough L.	39. Aning P. 6. Azhil A. 7. Besong P. 5. Foti A. 43. Krevsun D. 27. Lelle D. 2. Mogultay B. 31. Ostrzinski S. (G)
Coaches
Backhaus H.	Zimmermann J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Hanraths M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Bahn B. ⚽, El-Faouzi S. (A),
41', Roggow F. 🟨,
42', Elongo-Yombo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 2 - 0, Bakhat A. ⚽, Bahn B. (A),
57', Meyer F. 🟨,
58', Gobel P. ↓, Azhil A. ↑,
58', Campbell C. ↓, Foti A. ↑,
63', Watjen K. ↓, Krevsun D. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Azhil A. ⚽, Krevsun D. (A),
73', Bakhat A. ↓, Beleme D. ↑,
77', Gaudino G. ↓, Rumpf J. ↑,
77', Heister F. ↓, Winter N. ↑,
80', Huning B. ↓, Aning P. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Foti A. ⚽, Eberwein M. (A),
87', Scepanik L. ↓, Castelle N. H. ↑,
87', Meyer F. ↓, Yarbrough L. ↑,
90', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Lelle D. ↑,
90+1', Bahn B. 🟨,
90+2', Foti A. 🟨,
90+3', Lotka M. 🟨,
90+5', Aning P. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pittsburgh won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

NY Rangers will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 54:75 (average 2.7:3.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Pittsburgh won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29:32 (average 3.2:3.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Dortmund II - the odds 3.62 are the expected chance of winning is 25.45%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alemannia Aachen
German 3 Bundesliga
14.02.25	Viktoria Köln - Alemannia Aachen	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
31.01.25	Alemannia Aachen - Energie Cottbus	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Verl - Alemannia Aachen	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTLW
- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
15.02.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Sandhausen	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Osnabrück - Borussia Dortmund II	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Hansa Rostock	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Arminia Bielefeld	0:4 ✺
18.01.25	Unterhaching - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
22.09.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Alemannia Aachen	3:0
German Regionalliga West
17.01.21	Borussia Dortmund II - Alemannia Aachen	2:1
05.09.20	Alemannia Aachen - Borussia Dortmund II	0:1
01.02.20	Alemannia Aachen - Borussia Dortmund II	3:3
23.10.19	Borussia Dortmund II - Alemannia Aachen	0:3
18.05.19	Borussia Dortmund II - Alemannia Aachen	3:1
10.11.18	Alemannia Aachen - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0

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