Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 21

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Rote Erde (Dortmund)

Referee: Bartnitzki D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Croatia	SportKlub 2
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport
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Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund II		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.15
	3.1	3.5	2.15
	3.1	3.4	2.2
	3.26	3.55	2.25
	3.11	3.45	2.21	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.15
	3.07	3.48	2.13
	3.1	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.93)	3.44 ↓ (3.51)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
30.2%

Draw
27.1%

Arminia Bielefeld
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

26.3%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

26.2%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Borussia Dortmund II - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Arminia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia Dortmund II: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Lotka M. (G) 43. Krevsun D. 22. Mane F. 34. Luhrs Y. 42. Kabar A. 6. Azhil A. (C) 8. Roggow F. 38. Watjen K. 14. Eberwein M. 10. Elongo-Yombo R. 23. Paulina J.	1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 23. Schneider L. 3. Felix J. 4. Oppie L. 6. Corboz M. (C) 21. Russo S. 38. Worl M. 37. Sarenren Bazee N. J. 30. Young I. 28. Uldrikis R.
Substitutes
7. Besong P. 37. Campbell C. 26. Drakas B. 33. Estevao T. (G) 5. Foti A. 15. Huning B. 29. Jessen N. 27. Lelle D. 2. Mogultay B.	17. Biankadi M. 19. Grosser M. 2. Hagmann F. 7. Kania J. 13. Kunze L. 33. Lippert M. 45. Nsumbu D. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 22. Schroers M.
Coaches
Zimmermann J.	Kniat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Roggow F. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Corboz M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Young I. ⚽, Sarenren Bazee N. J. (A),
56', Mane F. ↓, Huning B. ↑,
56', Watjen K. ↓, Foti A. ↑,
60', Oppie L. 🟨,
61', Uldrikis R. 🟨,
68', Campbell C. 🟨,
68', Young I. ↓, Schroers M. ↑,
68', Kabar A. ↓, Mogultay B. ↑,
68', Oppie L. ↓, Hagmann F. ↑,
71', Krevsun D. 🟨,
74', 0 - 3, Worl M. ⚽, Sarenren Bazee N. J. (A),
77', Sarenren Bazee N. J. ↓, Nsumbu D. ↑,
77', Uldrikis R. ↓, Grosser M. ↑,
84', 0 - 4, Worl M. ⚽, Felix J. (A),
84', Lannert C. ↓, Lippert M. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Arminia have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Borussia Dortmund II: Besong P. (Knee Injury) Hettwer J. (Back Injury) Irorere F. (Foot Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:13 (average 0.7:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia Dortmund II won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
18.01.25	Unterhaching - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	VfB Stuttgart II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:3 ✺
07.12.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:2 ✺
30.11.24	Hannover II - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWTL
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
18.01.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Energie Cottbus	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.01.25	Arminia Bielefeld - TSV Havelse	5:1 ✺
07.01.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Lippstadt 08	6:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
22.12.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Unterhaching	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
10.08.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Dortmund II	1:0
09.03.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2
07.10.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Dortmund II	2:2
07.03.15	Borussia Dortmund II - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1
13.09.14	Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Dortmund II	3:0
08.12.12	Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Dortmund II	4:2
28.07.12	Borussia Dortmund II - Arminia Bielefeld	N/A

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