Match Info

Copa Uruguay - Round 3

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports


	Boston River		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.25	3.50
	1.93	3.25	3.45
	1.95	3.26	3.95
	2.01	3.22	3.6	Watch
	1.87	3.20	3.80
	1.86	3.22	3.83	Watch
	1.89	3.25	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.69)	3.24 ↓ (3.5)	3.66 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
47.3%

Draw
28%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

26.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boston River's form might have worsened.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boston River, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Boston River - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Babino L. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Munoa F. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, De Armas N. ⚽,
38', 2 - 2, Saravia Salvia R. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 3 - 2, Suarez L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Fenix could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Boston River holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Boston River has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:21 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Boston River against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:10 goals (averaging 0.6:1.3 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.09.26	Boston River - Progreso	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	3:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Boston River - Colón Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.09.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Boston River	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
02.09.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Boston River	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLW
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.09.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	River Plate Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Rentistas - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
01.09.26	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:3 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
16.09.24	Boston River - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0
03.03.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Boston River	1:2
04.11.23	Boston River - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1
26.03.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Boston River	0:0
26.08.22	Boston River - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1
12.03.22	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Boston River	0:2
30.11.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Boston River	0:0

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