Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 19

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+


	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Colón Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.75	3.35
	2.27	2.9	3.33
	2.25	2.98	3.45	Watch
	2.19	2.8	3.25
	2.19	2.84	3.34
	2.16	2.8	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.26)	2.85 ↓ (3.02)	3.35 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
41.1%

Draw
31.8%

Colón Montevideo
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.7%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

29.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Colón Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Colón Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 3rd).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Colón may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Fenix is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Fenix has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:8 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fenix against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Colon	21	8	6	7	20:23	-3	30
7	Fenix	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.09.26	River Plate Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Rentistas - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
01.09.26	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:3 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
27.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTTL
- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.09.26	Colón Montevideo - Rentistas	0:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Boston River - Colón Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.09.26	Miramar Misiones - Colón Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
01.09.26	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:3 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.08.26	Colón Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguay Copa
01.09.26	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:3
Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.06.26	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1
15.09.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	0:1
22.06.25	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:3
07.04.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	1:2

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