Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 2

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Referee: Fernandez A. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cerro		Central Español

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.65	3	2.6
	2.62	2.98	2.62
	2.91	2.98	2.78
	2.8	2.75	2.91	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.7
	2.63	3.24	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.85)	2.99 ↑ (2.7)	2.69 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro
34.4%

Draw
31.1%

Central Español
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

34.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

35.1%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Cerro - Central Español Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Central Español will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Español (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Irrazabal Y. (G) 10. Aleman B. 31. Amaro J. 27. Barros C. 28. Cambon A. 3. Lima A. 5. Macelli A. 77. Ocampo M. 33. Rijo T. 17. Rodriguez G. 22. Suarez D.	39. Rodolfo (G) 32. Aguilera M. 30. Alonso M. 26. Cesar Nunes 17. Fernandez L. 16. Mendez I. 4. Montiel M. 7. Munoz F. 19. Sequeira S. 6. Urrutia M. 14. Villoldo A. (C)
Substitutes
4. Arguello M. 6. Bregante F. 25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 41. Cristoforo S. 16. Guasone J. 32. Mederos R. 35. Nongoy P. 29. Paiva S. 7. Severo A. 19. Sosa E.	15. Cantera M. 3. Dupont J. 23. Gonella I. 12. Marquez E. (G) 25. Milan F. 10. Muniz R. 21. Pino L. 28. Sanchez S. 27. Sosa F. 18. Yocco F.
Coaches
Cappuccio A.	Osella D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Cambon A. 🟨,
39', Aleman B. 🟨,
41', Suarez D. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Cambon A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Alonso M. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
57', Rijo T. 🟨,
59', Rijo T. ↓, Severo A. ↑,
63', Cambon A. ↓, Paiva S. ↑,
63', Barros C. ↓, Nongoy P. ↑,
67', Urrutia M. ↓, Milan F. ↑,
76', Ocampo M. ↓, Mederos R. ↑,
79', Aguilera M. ↓, Dupont J. ↑,
79', Fernandez L. ↓, Cantera M. ↑,
79', Mendez I. ↓, Muniz R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 2.

Cerro is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Central Español has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cerro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CA Cerro	9	4	2	3	9:11	-2	14

Last Results with these Odds

Central Español - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.73%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.05.26	Boston River - Cerro	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Nacional Montevideo - Cerro	4:0 ✺
02.05.26	Cerro - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Central Español - Cerro	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Cerro - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT
- Central Español
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.05.26	Central Español - Defensor Sporting	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Central Español - Racing Montevideo	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Boston River - Central Español	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Central Español - Cerro	3:1 ✺
17.04.26	Albion Montevideo - Central Español	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
26.04.26	Central Español - Cerro	3:1
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.08.22	Cerro - Central Español	2:0
13.05.22	Central Español - Cerro	1:2
28.09.21	Cerro - Central Español	0:0
16.06.21	Central Español - Cerro	3:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.05.13	Central Español - Cerro	0:2
25.11.12	Cerro - Central Español	0:2

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