Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff (Montevideo)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Danubio		Cerro

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.90	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3.00	3.75
	1.95	3.10	4.00
	2.04	3.08	4.53
	1.99	3.15	4.08	Watch
	2.01	2.95	4.45
	2.05	3.05	3.94	Watch
	2.01	3.05	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.02)	3.04 ↓ (3.09)	4.06 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danubio
46.5%

Draw
30.6%

Cerro
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

30.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Danubio - Cerro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goicoechea M. (C) 15. Figueroa E. 2. Velazquez E. 19. Brasil M. 29. Jourdan M. 38. Trasante J. 8. Rodriguez S. 10. Peralta M. 20. Ferreira M. 9. Silveira H. 77. Tomatis B.	12. Irrazabal Y. (G) 22. Suarez D. 16. Guasone J. 21. Arena N. 6. Bregante F. 31. Amaro J. 5. Macelli A. (C) 8. Miranda A. 10. Aleman B. 27. Barros C. 7. Severo A.
Substitutes
7. Cabrera E. 28. Femia E. 30. Fernandez S. 11. John Kleber 32. Martinez K. (G) 14. Pereira B. 4. Rinaldi M. 16. Rossi I. 6. Sosa L. 17. Velazquez A.	4. Arguello M. 28. Cambon A. 1. Denis D. (G) 70. Leonardo Pais 3. Lima A. 32. Mederos R. 77. Morales B. 35. Nongoy P. 17. Rodriguez G. 19. Sosa E.
Coaches
Ramos L.	Cappuccio A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Severo A. ⚽,
38', Jourdan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Trasante J. ↓, Velazquez A. ↑,
46', Jourdan M. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
46', Ferreira M. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
54', Arena N. 🟨,
62', Severo A. ↓, Leonardo Pais ↑,
62', Miranda A. ↓, Mederos R. ↑,
66', Aleman B. ↓, Cambon A. ↑,
69', Tomatis B. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
70', Macelli A. 🟨,
83', Rodriguez S. ↓, John Kleber ↑,
86', Barros C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 2.

Cerro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Danubio might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CA Cerro	9	4	2	3	9:11	-2	14
13	Danubio	9	1	4	4	4:10	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.08.26	Albion Montevideo - Danubio	2:2 ✺
24.07.26	Montevideo City Torque - Danubio	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Danubio - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Danubio - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1 ✺
05.06.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTTT
- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.08.26	Defensor Sporting - Cerro	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Cerro - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
29.05.26	Cerro Largo - Cerro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
09.02.26	Cerro - Danubio	0:1
14.09.25	Danubio - Cerro	5:1
23.03.25	Cerro - Danubio	1:1
14.11.24	Danubio - Cerro	0:0
22.06.24	Cerro - Danubio	0:0
11.05.24	Cerro - Danubio	2:0
19.10.23	Cerro - Danubio	1:1

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