Match Info
Copa do Nordeste - Round 3Date: 8 April 2026, WednesdayLocation: Estadio Antonio Mariz (Marizao) (Sousa)
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Sousa |
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Botafogo PB |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Sousa
47.6% | Draw
29.3% | Botafogo PB
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sousa's performance.Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo PB might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sousa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo PB could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sousa - Botafogo PB Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Moises (G)
8. Diego Viana (C)
10. Everton Heleno
16. Felipe Jacare
6. Gilmar
23.  Guizao
5. Hebert
2. Iranilson
11. Luis Henrique
4. Marcelo
25. Veraldo
| 23. Max Walef (G)
25. Caio Garcia
2. Diogo Mateus
7. Dudu Hatamoto
18. Giovanni
31. Gustavo
9. Henrique Dourado (C)
33. Julio Vaz
35. Octavio
6. Patric Calmon
20. Thallyson
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| Substitutes |
15. Abraao
17. Cianlucas
20. Crystian
13. Estevan
26. Gabriel Souza (G)
7. Guimaraes
14. Kiko
22. Lucas Gabriel (G)
19. Matheus Bambu
18. Natalicio
21. Neto Lisboa
3. Pedro Costa
| 29. Anderson Chaves
37. Ed Carlos
19. Gustavo Santos
36. Italo
15. Kayon
39. Lawan
21. Leandro Mathias (G)
87. Lucas Couto
30. Matheus L.
28. Romario
4. Saimon
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Guilherme 🟨,
- 40', Thallyson 🟨,
- 45+1', Iranilson ↓, Crystian ↑,
- 45+3', Diogo Mateus 🟨,
- 45+4', Diego Viana 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Thallyson ↓, Romario ↑,
- 46', 1 - 0, Felipe Jacare ⚽,
- 57', Veraldo ↓, Kiko ↑,
- 64', Hebert 🟨,
- 66', Henrique Dourado ↓, Gustavo Santos ↑,
- 70', Dudu Hatamoto ↓, Kayon ↑,
- 74', Caio Garcia ↓, Saimon ↑,
- 77', Saimon 🟨,
- 78', Everton Heleno ↓, Matheus Bambu ↑,
- 78', Hebert ↓, Gianlucas ↑,
- 78', Diego Viana ↓, Guimaraes ↑,
- 78', Guilherme 🟨,
- 88', Moises 🟨,
- 90', Max Walef 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, Luis Henrique ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 1.Sousa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Botafogo PB is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1:1).Including home matches between the teams, Sousa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano | | | 21.03.26 | Botafogo PB - Sousa | 0:0 | | 15.03.26 | Sousa - Botafogo PB | 1:2 | | 24.01.26 | Botafogo PB - Sousa | 1:1 | | 30.03.25 | Botafogo PB - Sousa | 1:1 | | 23.03.25 | Sousa - Botafogo PB | 1:0 | | 22.02.25 | Sousa - Botafogo PB | 1:2 | | 13.04.24 | Botafogo PB - Sousa | 1:2 penalties |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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