Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 16

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Botafogo RJ U20		Grêmio U20

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.50	6.00
	1.37	4.55	6.1
	1.41	4.97	6.9
	1.39	4.6	6.6
	1.36	4.33	6.5
	1.35	4.5	7.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)	4.58 ↑ (4.4)	6.55 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ U20
66.2%

Draw
19.9%

Grêmio U20
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.1%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

20.2%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Grêmio U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio U20 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Botafogo RJ U20 - Grêmio U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, Bernardo Valim ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo U20 won 2.

Botafogo U20 is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Grêmio U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Botafogo U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Grêmio U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Botafogo U20 is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Botafogo U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Botafogo U20 won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo RJ U20 - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 65.07%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ U20
Brasileiro U20
10.06.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Criciúma U20	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Santos U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	0:3 ✺
16.05.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Cruzeiro U20	3:1 ✺
13.05.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTWWW
- Grêmio RS U20
Brazilian Gaucho U20
14.06.26	Grêmio U20 - Internacional U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
10.06.26	Grêmio U20 - Fluminense U20	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Gaucho U20
05.06.26	Grêmio U20 - Novo Hamburgo U20	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Novo Hamburgo U20 - Grêmio U20	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Grêmio U20 - Ivoti U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
02.07.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Grêmio U20	4:0
04.04.24	Botafogo RJ U20 - Grêmio U20	1:2
27.06.21	Grêmio U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	0:2
26.09.20	Grêmio U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	0:0
11.09.19	Grêmio U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	3:0
06.09.17	Grêmio U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	0:1
29.08.17	Botafogo RJ U20 - Grêmio U20	3:1

Upcoming Matches