The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos U20 47.4%
Draw 26.9%
Botafogo RJ U20 25.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.3%
25.7%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.2%
26.8%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Botafogo RJ U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos U20 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Santos U20 - Botafogo RJ U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Joao Lucio (G) 4. Cruz G. 7. Davizinho 10. Fabri V. 9. Grando J. D. 2. Joao Alencar 6. Joao Ananias 11. Nadson 5. Pierri S. 8. Profeta N. 3. Rafael Gonzaga
1. Rhyan (G) 8. Bernardo Valim 10. Caio Valle 3. Danillo Oliveira 7. Januario F. 9. Juninho 4. Kaua 2. Kaua Branco 6. Lucyo 11. Matheusinho 5. Santiago
Substitutes
16. Assis G. 20. Benicio P. 14. Contreras M. 22. Fernando Tank 13. Follmer L. 23. Garcia M. 21. Kaio Ganga 18. Lucas Arruda 17. Padula 15. Paes G. 19. Pedro Assis 12. Traleski Pedro (G)
18. Arthur Izaque 20. Caua Zappelini 16. Gabriel Abdias 12. Loor C. 13. Marcelo M. 14. Marquinhos 17. Miguel Caldas 19. Molina I. 23. Nery D. 21. Vitinho 15. Wallace Davi
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Kaua Branco 🟨,
21', Pierri S. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Santiago ↓, Arthur Izaque ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Arthur Izaque ⚽,
52', Januario F. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Fabri V. ⚽,
62', Bernardo Valim ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
62', Januario F. ↓, Miguel Caldas ↑,
68', Grando J. D. ↓, Pedro Assis ↑,
68', Davizinho ↓, Benicio P. ↑,
70', Lucyo ↓, Gabriel Abdias ↑,
70', Juninho ↓, Molina I. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Pedro Assis ⚽, Nadson (A),
83', 🟨,
84', Caio Valle ↓, Caua Zappelini ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Fabri V. ⚽, Rafael Gonzaga (A),
89', Cruz G. ↓, Follmer L. ↑,
89', Nadson ↓, Contreras M. ↑,
89', Pierri S. ↓, Kaio Ganga ↑,
90+3', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos U20 won 1.
Recent performances by Santos U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Botafogo U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Santos U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Santos U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Santos U20 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Santos U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Botafogo RJ U20 - the odds 3.24 are the expected chance of winning is 27.97%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Joao Lucio (G) 
Cruz G. 
Profeta N. 
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