The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Botafogo SP U20 13.1%
Draw 21.3%
Palmeiras U20 65.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
15.5%
22.7%
61.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.7%
21.5%
63.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Palmeiras U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP U20 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Botafogo SP U20 - Palmeiras U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).
Botafogo SP U20 has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Palmeiras U20 is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Palmeiras U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Palmeiras U20 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The betting markets point to Palmeiras U20 as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP U20 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:14 (averaging 0.8:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Botafogo SP U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 3:6 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Palmeiras U20 - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 61.84%, but this team recently wins 79% of matches with these odds.