Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Botafogo SP U20		Palmeiras U20

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.33	1.42
	5.9	4.35	1.4
	5.14	4.13	1.49
	4.98	4.01	1.57	Watch
	5.16	4.13	1.55	Watch
	5.9	4.35	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.47 ↓ (5.96)	4.22 ↓ (4.38)	1.47 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP U20
16.6%

Draw
21.6%

Palmeiras U20
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

20.8%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

19.9%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Palmeiras U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP U20 than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (+5%)

Botafogo SP U20 - Palmeiras U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

In this match, Palmeiras U20 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
26.09.25	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Botafogo SP U20	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Botafogo SP U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - Botafogo SP U20	1:3 ✺
07.09.25	Botafogo SP U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Botafogo SP U20 - Referência U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33 WWWWT
- Palmeiras U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
26.09.25	Palmeiras U20 - Referência U20	3:0 ✺
19.09.25	Referência U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Palmeiras U20 - Sertãozinho U20	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Sertãozinho U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
26.08.25	Palmeiras U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
28.06.25	Botafogo SP U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:2
06.09.24	Botafogo SP U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:3
24.08.24	Palmeiras U20 - Botafogo SP U20	5:0

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