Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 14

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	Velo Clube U20		Botafogo SP U20

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.20	2.05
	2.80	3.30	2.18
	3.2	3.41	1.97
	3.3	3.31	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.15	1.97
	2.94	3.48	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.8)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	2.07 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velo Clube U20
29.1%

Draw
27.3%

Botafogo SP U20
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

27.1%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

26.5%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velo Clube U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Botafogo SP U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velo Clube U20 than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP U20 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Velo Clube U20 - Botafogo SP U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 3, ⚽,
76', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Velo Clube U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Botafogo SP U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Botafogo SP U20 might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Velo Clube U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.08.26	EC São Bernardo U20 - Velo Clube U20	0:0 ✺
11.08.26	Velo Clube U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Piracicaba U20 - Velo Clube U20	0:0 ✺
31.07.26	Velo Clube U20 - Sporting Paulinense U20	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Ibrachina U20 - Velo Clube U20	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTTWL
- Botafogo SP U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
21.08.26	CA Bandeirante U20 - Botafogo SP U20	0:4 ✺
14.08.26	Botafogo SP U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Osasco Sporting U20 - Botafogo SP U20	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Botafogo SP U20 - Santo Andre U20	4:1 ✺
31.07.26	São Paulo U20 - Botafogo SP U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTWL

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