Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 10

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday


	Botafogo SP U20		Santo Andre U20

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.20	3.30
	2.08	3.05	3.20
	2.06	3.31	3.08
	1.92	3.51	3.47	Watch
	2.08	3.1	3.05
	2.02	3.52	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.67)	3.28 ↓ (3.65)	3.24 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP U20
44.6%

Draw
27.5%

Santo Andre U20
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24.5%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

25.6%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP U20's form might have worsened.

Santo Andre U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santo Andre U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP U20 than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santo Andre U20 than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santo Andre U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Botafogo SP U20 - Santo Andre U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, ⚽,
44', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Botafogo SP U20 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Santo Andre U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Botafogo SP U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
31.07.26	São Paulo U20 - Botafogo SP U20	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Botafogo SP U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Ibrachina U20 - Botafogo SP U20	4:2 ✺
10.07.26	Botafogo SP U20 - Sporting Paulinense U20	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Aguaí U20 - Botafogo SP U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTT
- Santo Andre U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
31.07.26	Santo Andre U20 - União São João U20	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - Santo Andre U20	2:2 ✺
10.07.26	Santo Andre U20 - CA Bandeirante U20	2:1 ✺
03.07.26	Santo Andre U20 - Sporting Paulinense U20	3:1 ✺
26.06.26	EC São Bernardo U20 - Santo Andre U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
26.04.25	Santo Andre U20 - Botafogo SP U20	1:2

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