Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 13

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex (Plovdiv)


	Botev Plovdiv II		Fratria

	1	X	2
	3.14	3.27	2.08
	3.23	3.33	2.09	Watch
	3.35	3.2	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.75)	3.27 ↑ (3)	2.07 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botev Plovdiv II
28.1%

Draw
27.9%

Fratria
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

29%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Plovdiv II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Fratria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fratria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv II than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fratria than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fratria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Botev Plovdiv II - Fratria Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Botev Plovdiv II will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Fratria will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Rusev D. (G) 10. Bonev B. (C) 29. Cassi C. 16. Marinov B. 9. Pavlov K. 8. Piloyan E. 13. Sitev M. 5. Tatarov K. 2. Van Heertum J. 3. Videv I. 20. Zlatanov G.	33. Kitanov G. (G) 3. Angelov A. 7. Angelov D. 18. Bitlan V. 8. Dobrev S. 5. Dobrev V. (C) 74. Gashchuk M. 71. Ibryam I. 21. Kapitanov I. 17. Kostadinov M. 22. Lukanov D.
Substitutes
15. Dikliev D. 1. Georgiev M. 19. Georgiev M. 4. Kushtinarov G. 7. Naydenov E. 17. Simeonov M. 11. Tonev D. 22. Vidolov V. 14. Yordanov D.	66. Andoni V. 25. Druiventak X. 9. Kadir D. 77. Lazarov G. 75. Lisak A. 1. Petkov S. (G) 2. Popov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 2 - 1, ⚽,
66', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
83', 2 - 2, ⚽,
85', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Botev Plovdiv II has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fratria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botev Plovdiv II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
06.10.24	Sportist Svoge - Botev Plovdiv II	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Botev Plovdiv II - Dobrudzha Dobrich	0:5 ✺
22.09.24	Lovech - Botev Plovdiv II	3:1 ✺
16.09.24	Botev Plovdiv II - Dunav Ruse	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Botev Plovdiv II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTL
- FC Fratria
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
06.10.24	Fratria - Strumska Slava Radomir	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Belasitsa Petrich - Fratria	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Fratria - Minyor Pernik	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Yantra Gabrovo - Fratria	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Fratria - Montana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TWTWL

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