Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 7

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday


	Bougouba		Bougouni

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.1	4.95
	1.72	3.29	4.96	Watch
	1.67	3.2	5
	1.74	3.33	5.2	Watch
	1.68	3.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.88)	3.22 ↑ (2.88)	5.02 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bougouba
53.6%

Draw
28.3%

Bougouni
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

31.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

31%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bougouba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bougouba's performance.

Bougouni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bougouba than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bougouni than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Bougouba - Bougouni Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bougouba will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Bougouni will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 12).

Bougouba has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bougouni's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bougouba is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bougouba won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Bougouba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Bougouba	26	8	7	11	21:34	-13	31
14	US Bougouni	26	4	4	18	12:43	-31	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Bougouba
Malian Première Division
26.12.25	Onze Créateurs - Bougouba	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Bougouba - Stade Malien	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Bougouba - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Djoliba - Bougouba	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Bougouba - Afrique Football Elite	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TLTWW
- US Bougouni
Malian Première Division
27.12.25	Bougouni - Djoliba	0:2 ✺
19.12.25	Afrique Football Elite - Bougouni	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Bougouni - Korofina	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Real Bamako - Bougouni	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Bougouni - Diarra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
03.06.25	Bougouba - Bougouni	2:0
08.02.25	Bougouni - Bougouba	1:0
24.02.24	Bougouni - Bougouba	0:1

Bougouba - Bougouni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide