Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 5

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Bougouba		Stade Malien

	1	X	2
	5.7	3.7	1.5
	6.1	3.25	1.63	Watch
	5.5	3	1.67
	4.91	3.83	1.66	Watch
	6	3.14	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.64 ↑ (4.02)	3.38 ↑ (2.89)	1.61 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bougouba
16.2%

Draw
27%

Stade Malien
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

31.5%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bougouba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bougouba's form might have worsened.

Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stade Malien's recent form is better than expected.

Bougouba - Stade Malien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 8).

In recent matches, Stade Malien has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bougouba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Stade Malien might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bougouba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bougouba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Bougouba
Malian Première Division
12.12.25	Bougouba - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Djoliba - Bougouba	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Bougouba - Afrique Football Elite	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Bougouba - Bougouni	2:0 ✺
26.05.25	Diarra - Bougouba	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TWWWW
- Stade Malien
Malian Première Division
17.12.25	Stade Malien - Korofina	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Stade Malien - Djoliba	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	Real Bamako - Stade Malien	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Afrique Football Elite - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
30.11.25	Stade Malien - Simba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
10.05.25	Stade Malien - Bougouba	3:0
04.03.25	Bougouba - Stade Malien	2:3
10.01.24	Bougouba - Stade Malien	0:2
08.01.22	Stade Malien - Bougouba	1:0

Bougouba - Stade Malien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide