Match Info

National - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel-Verchere (Bourg-en-Bresse)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
France	BFM Grand Lille
Mexico	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Bourg-Péronnas		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.05
	2.23	3.62	3.16
	2.2	3.21	3.06
	2.1	3.25	2.9
	2.1	3.32	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.6)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	3.05 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bourg-Péronnas
42.5%

Draw
27.5%

Valenciennes
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

27.8%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

26.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bourg-Péronnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bourg-Péronnas's performance.

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valenciennes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bourg-Péronnas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valenciennes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bourg Péronnas - Valenciennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bourg-Péronnas will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Bourg-Péronnas (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bourg-Péronnas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boulhendi T. (G) 25. Laspalles R. 4. Do Marcolino A. 26. Vitre N. (C) 3. Koite C. 12. Pembele A. 10. Meyer J. 21. Bodmer M. 2. Touray S. 20. Keita E. M. 9. Besic B.	40. Lacombe J. (G) 14. Raheriniaina E. H. 4. Landre L. 11. Appuah S. 12. Airhiavbere E. 25. Belloumou S. 8. Rouai M. 18. Courtet G. 28. Wahib A. 27. Daubin Q. 33. Bourichon N.
Substitutes
14. Banzouzi D. 6. Kembolo F. 29. Magassouba M. 16. Mazuy A. (G) 28. Slimani R.	2. Abu D. 22. Boissier R. 29. Coeff A. 26. Diomande D. 10. Ipiele A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Appuah S. 🟨,
45', Do Marcolino A. 🟨,
45+1', Belloumou S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Pembele A. ↓, Slimani R. ↑,
59', Besic B. 🟨,
63', Airhiavbere E. ↓, Abu D. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Do Marcolino A. ⚽,
70', Appuah S. ↓, Boissier R. ↑,
70', Daubin Q. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,
77', Belloumou S. ↓, Diomande D. ↑,
77', Raheriniaina E. H. ↓, Coeff A. ↑,
83', Bodmer M. ↓, Magassouba M. ↑,
84', Meyer J. 🟨,
87', Cisse S. ↓, Banzouzi D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bourg-Péronnas won 2.

Bourg-Péronnas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Valenciennes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bourg-Péronnas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bourg-Péronnas won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bourg-Péronnas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Valenciennes	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8
17	Bourg en Bresse	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5

Last Results with these Odds

Valenciennes - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.89%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bourg-Péronnas
French Ligue 3
02.05.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Villefranche	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Sochaux - Bourg-Péronnas	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Caen	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Dijon - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Paris 13 Atletico	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLW
- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 3
02.05.26	Sochaux - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Valenciennes - Dijon	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Fleury 91 - Valenciennes	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Valenciennes - Versailles	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Quevilly - Valenciennes	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
16.01.26	Valenciennes - Bourg-Péronnas	3:1
04.04.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Valenciennes	1:0
08.11.24	Valenciennes - Bourg-Péronnas	1:2
French Ligue 2
13.04.18	Valenciennes - Bourg-Péronnas	2:2
17.11.17	Bourg-Péronnas - Valenciennes	1:3
14.04.17	Bourg-Péronnas - Valenciennes	0:2
18.11.16	Valenciennes - Bourg-Péronnas	3:3

Bourg-Péronnas - Valenciennes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide