Match Info

National - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Auguste Bonal (Montbéliard)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
France	BFM Grand Lille
Mexico	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Sochaux		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.05	4.95
	1.57	4.27	5.04
	1.58	3.86	4.97	Watch
	1.53	3.8	4.8
	1.51	4.05	5.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)	4.01 ↑ (3.66)	5.01 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochaux
59%

Draw
22.8%

Valenciennes
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

24%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sochaux - Valenciennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sochaux will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Pierre A. (G) 26. N'Gatta E. 4. Vitelli A. (C) 14. Peybernes M. 3. Gomis D. 8. Bayanginisa H. 15. Mexique J. 28. Boutoutaou A. 5. Baghdadi S. 7. Gomel B. 9. Djoco K.	1. Louchet J. (G) 2. Abu D. 4. Landre L. 29. Coeff A. 26. Diomande D. 8. Rouai M. 25. Belloumou S. 20. Koum Mbondo A. 23. Kouakou K. 18. Courtet G. 11. Appuah S.
Substitutes
10. Fofana B. 1. Jeannin M. (G) 12. Sidibe A. 24. Tavares D. 17. Youssouf B.	33. Bourichon N. 27. Daubin Q. 32. Nyemb C. 14. Raheriniaina E. H. 28. Wahib A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Koum Mbondo A. 🟥,
24', Diomande D. ↓, Wahib A. ↑,
30', 1 - 0, Djoco K. ⚽, Boutoutaou A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Belloumou S. ↓, Daubin Q. ↑,
47', Bayanginisa H. 🟨,
51', Bayanginisa H. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Appuah S. (Penalty Awarded),
54', Appuah S. 🟨,
57', Appuah S. ↓, Raheriniaina E. H. ↑,
59', Vitelli A. 🟨,
64', Wahib A. 🟨,
67', Baghdadi S. ↓, Youssouf B. ↑,
68', Boutoutaou A. ↓, Fofana B. ↑,
71', Kouakou K. ↓, Nyemb C. ↑,
74', Raheriniaina E. H. 🟨,
78', Vitelli A. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
83', Djoco K. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochaux won 2.

In recent matches, Sochaux has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Valenciennes's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sochaux is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sochaux won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sochaux won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 1.4:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Valenciennes	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 3
24.04.26	Sochaux - Bourg-Péronnas	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Dijon - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Sochaux - Fleury 91	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Versailles - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
27.03.26	Sochaux - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTTLW
- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 3
24.04.26	Valenciennes - Dijon	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Fleury 91 - Valenciennes	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Valenciennes - Versailles	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Quevilly - Valenciennes	3:2 ✺
27.03.26	Valenciennes - Aubagne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
12.12.25	Valenciennes - Sochaux	Abandoned
14.03.25	Valenciennes - Sochaux	1:0
18.10.24	Sochaux - Valenciennes	2:0
French Ligue 2
31.01.23	Sochaux - Valenciennes	4:0
01.10.22	Valenciennes - Sochaux	2:1
07.05.22	Valenciennes - Sochaux	1:0
21.12.21	Sochaux - Valenciennes	1:1

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