The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brackley Town 57%
Draw 25.1%
AFC Telford United 17.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.3%
21.2%
10.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71%
22%
10.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brackley Town's form might have worsened.
AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Telford United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+14%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brackley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Telford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
11.1%
33.3%
Brackley Town - AFC Telford United Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Brackley will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Telford will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Brackley: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation).
Telford is Relegated to
Last 5 head-to-head matches Brackley won 4.
Brackley is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Telford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Brackley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Brackley is a favorite.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Brackley won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Brackley won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-6.