Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 22

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Farsley		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.65
	4.4	3.6	1.63
	5	3.6	1.66	Watch
	5.33	3.57	1.67
	5.12	3.69	1.67	Watch
	4.8	3.5	1.7
	4.85	3.56	1.68
	5	3.6	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (3.48)	3.59 ↑ (3.44)	1.67 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farsley
18.8%

Draw
25.7%

Brackley Town
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

27%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

25.5%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farsley's form might have worsened.

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brackley Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brackley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Farsley - Brackley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Fox R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 1 - 1, Abbey J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farsley won 2.

Farsley has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Brackley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farsley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brackley is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Farsley won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Farsley won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farsley AFC
English FA Trophy
17.12.24	Gateshead - Farsley	8:1 ✺
English National League North
14.12.24	Farsley - Buxton	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Oxford City - Farsley	4:1 ✺
26.11.24	Farsley - Chorley	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	South Shields - Farsley	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Brackley Town
English National League North
17.12.24	Brackley Town - King`s Lynn Town	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Brackley Town - Chester	2:1 ✺
10.12.24	Scarborough Athletic - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Stockport County - Brackley Town	3:1 ✺
English National League North
26.11.24	Rushall Olympic - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
02.03.24	Brackley Town - Farsley	0:0
21.10.23	Farsley - Brackley Town	1:4
04.04.23	Farsley - Brackley Town	2:1
20.08.22	Brackley Town - Farsley	0:3
29.01.22	Brackley Town - Farsley	3:2
06.11.21	Farsley - Brackley Town	0:0
01.02.20	Brackley Town - Farsley	0:1

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